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!!! W E L C O M E !!!
In INDIA, people generally relate to stock market as “EASY MONEY” or “SATTA BAZAAR”. For them it’s purely a GAME or matter of sheer LUCK and nothing more than that. But seldom do they know, by following certain PRINCIPLES and taking INFORMED decision, this same platform has the power to take them from rags to riches. No doubt, it has a certain amount of RISK attached to it. But every business or investment has it. What more, the Finance Ministry has already made the long term capital gain as TAX FREE whereas the short term capital gain is taxed at merely 10%. On the economic front, India’s GDP is growing and is expected to grow at scorching pace of more than 8%. Unfortunately, even today our market is being ruled and dominated by FIRANGI’s money. But I can see, the day is not far when our general PUBLIC will change its perception and start putting MOST of their savings in equities as an ** Investment **.
Remember, "K N O W L E D G E" and "P A T I E N C E" are the key to success.
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SAARTHI

Sensex (LIVE- Intraday)

Sensex (LIVE- Intraday)

Friday, February 16, 2007

Anjani Portland Cement - Rs.33.50

Established in 1983, Anjani Portland Cement Ltd. (APCL) is a small cement manufacturing company in Hyderabad led by Mr. Vishnu Raju of the Rassi Group. It produces 53 grade & 43 grade cement from high grade limestone and sells its under the brand name ‘Anjani’. It also manufactures blended cements like Portland Slag Cement and Portland Pozzolona Cement depending upon the customers' requirement and distributes its product through an extensive dealer network mostly in Andhra Pradesh & Tamil Nadu. With its consistent quality and timely delivery, APCL has created a niche for itself in the fragmented cement industry.

Its manufacturing plant is located at Nalgonda district in Andhra Pradesh having an installed capacity of 3,00,000 TPA. Equipped with state of the art technology from Nihon of Japan, this plant has the distinction of being one of the most modern plants in the mini-cement sector. The dry process technology adopted by the unit has many advantages, such as efficiency, better quality control and reduced power consumption which results in low cost of production with consistent and sustained output. Besides, APCL has a mining lease spread over 300 acres merely 6 kms from the factory for mining of limestone. Moreover, it has a captive power plant of 2.7 MW through its wholly-owned subsidiary namely Vennar Ceramics.

Cement industry is witnessing the best of times due to large infrastructure developments, irrigation projects and the ongoing boom in the housing sector which has led to an unprecedented demand for cement. This demand coupled with the sharp rise in cement prices made APCL turnaround smartly. For the nine months ending 31st December 2006, its sales increased by 70% to Rs.54 cr. whereas net profit stood at Rs.8.60 cr. compared to net loss of Rs.2.50 cr. in the corresponding previous period. Its OPM has improved substantially to 23% against 14% for FY06. Accordingly, for FY07 it is estimated to report net sales of Rs.80 cr. with net profit of Rs.10.50 cr. This would translate into an EPS of Rs.6 on its equity of Rs.18.40 cr. With its 52 week high at Rs.44 and the current market cap of Rs.60 cr., the scrip has the potential to appreciate 50% in 12-15 months. Investors are advised to accumulate at sharp declines only.

Thursday, February 15, 2007

Murudeshwar Ceramics - Rs.111.00

Promoted by Mr. R.N. Shetty in 1983, Murudeshwar Ceramics Ltd. (MCL) is a part of the reputed RNS Group with diversified interests in construction, hotel, power, engineering, auto, IT and education. In 1994, it was the first company to start manufacturing vitrified tiles with an initial capacity of 2,000 sq. mt./day and is one of the major players in this segment with more than 30% market share. Notably, 60% of sales come from institutional supplies to big builders like Hiranandani, Rahejas, Shobha, Mahindra Gesco, L&T, Mantri, Metro Rail, AAI, ICICI, HDFC, Wipro etc. Balance 40% comes from the retail market which it has 75 showrooms and 250 wholesale distributors across India. Although the company had exited the ceramic tiles business earlier due to strong demand it re-entered this business from FY06. It also has small 100% EOU granite division in Bangalore.

Located in Hubli (Karnataka) and Karaikal (Pondicherry), MCL’s manufacturing facilities are equipped with state-of-the-art technology in technical collaboration with Sacmi Imola & Breton, Italy. After its recent expansion, the total production capacity on stands at 21000 sq. mt./day of vitrified tiles and 20000 sq. mt./day of ceramic tiles. But its biggest strength is its captive mine for china clay and feldspar, which cater to 80% of its raw material requirements. It also enjoys substantial cost advantage at its Karaikal facility since it has an agreement with GAIL for supply of natural gas. Besides, it has access to grid power at a very competitive rate of Rs.3/kwh. The current capacity utilisation of Vitrified tiles unit is 85% and that of Ceramics tiles unit is 75%. To fulfill the increasing demand, MCL is further expanding its vitrified tile capacity by 4000 sq. mt./day. Incidentally, the company has a 20 acres land near the Electronic City where it intends to develop an IT park in future.

Fundamentally as well as financially, the company is on a strong footing. It has huge reserves of more than Rs.200 cr. on its equity of Rs.17.50 cr. leading to a book value of around Rs.115. Despite stiff competition, it enjoys healthy EBITA margins of 15% in ceramic tiles and 30% in vitrified tiles. Recently, the promoters and Reliance Capital AMC got their 25 lakh preference shares converted into equity shares at Rs.124 per share. For FY07, the company is expected to clock a turnover of Rs.240 cr. with net profit of Rs.28 cr., which works out to an EPS of Rs.16 on its diluted equity of Rs.17.50 cr. For FY08, its revenue & PAT may shoot up to Rs.300 cr. and Rs.35 cr. respectively. Its share price has the potential to touch Rs.175 level in a year’s time and if the real estate story also pans out, then the scrip can go up to Rs.250 level.

Wednesday, February 14, 2007

STOCK WATCH

Although most fertilizer scrips are buzzing on the bourses; Liberty Phosphate (Code: 530273) (Rs.20) is trading at a steep discount from its 52 week high of Rs.55. It is the largest manufacture of Single Super Phosphate (SSP) commanding more than 14% market share. Presently, the group has manufacturing capacity of 7,25,000 MTPA of SSP fertilizer and 1,65,000 MTPA of NPK. It is planning to put-up new projects in other states like UP, Haryana and Central MP and establish a SSP plant at Visakappatnum with capacity of 1,32,000 MTPA. It may also announce the merger of its other two group companies with itself in the near future. Although its last two quarters were not that great, still it may end FY07 with sales of Rs.175 cr. and net profit of Rs.2.50 cr. on a standalone basis which would amount to an EPS of Rs.4 on its equity of Rs.4.13 cr. As the company has allotted around 20 lakh shares at Rs.25 to the promoters and others, the scrip is bound to rise 50% in a few months. A strong buy.

Although Suryalata Spinning Mills (Code: 514138) (Rs.55) didn’t post a great result for the December 2006 quarter, the scrip is buzzing on the bourses. Sales increased by 10% to Rs.50 cr. but net profit fell 30% to Rs.1.50 cr. due to higher tax provisions and interest cost. The company is in the midst of aggressive expansion of Rs.126 cr., which includes adding 45,000 new spindles and setting up of weaving and processing unit with a capacity of 50,000 meters a day. It has already commenced trial production at its new spinning plant of 20,000 spindles for polyester viscose yarn in Mahabubnagar, AP. Now that its total production capacity stands enhanced from 64368 to 84368 spindles. It may clock a turnover of Rs.200 cr. and net profit of Rs.6.75 cr. for FY07 i.e. EPS of Rs.12 on its current equity of Rs.5.45 cr. With a book value of Rs.54 and EV of merely Rs.85, it’s trading fairly cheap compared to its peers.

International Conveyors (Code: 509709) (Rs.171.85) is engaged in manufacturing PVC conveyor belts used in mining and material handling activities. It reported stunning results for the December 2006 quarter. Sales jumped by 60% to Rs.13.50 cr. whereas PBT spurted by 50% to Rs.2.30 cr. As company did not made any tax provision for this quarter net profit shot up 120% compared to Rs.1.06 cr. last year. Due to limited demand in domestic market, the company is putting special thrust on exports and has ambitious plan to increase its share in the lucrative global market. For the full year FY07, it may register a top-line of Rs.45 cr. and bottom-line of Rs.5 cr., which works out to an EPS of Rs.21 on its tiny equity of Rs.2.40 cr. Notably, a FII has accumulated 9% stake in the last two quarters from the open market. Scrip has the potential to touch Rs.250 in a year’s time. Buy only at sharp declines.

VST Tillers Tractors (Code: 531266) (Rs.145.75) is engaged in manufacturing of farm equipments like power tillers, low HP (sub 20 HP) tractors, diesel engines and precision components. For December 2006, its sales grew by 25% to Rs.40.50 cr. but net profit almost doubled to Rs.3.60 cr. registering an EPS of more than Rs.6 for the quarter. For the first nine months it has already clocked a sales of Rs.116 cr. and PAT of Rs.8.55 cr. Interestingly to remain the top player, VST is importing tillers in the CKD form from China, assembling them at its Hosur facility and marketing them under a new brand ‘Dragon Power Tiller’. With the GDP growth rate above 9%, the company is expected to end FY07 with turnover of Rs.160 cr. and net profit of Rs.11 cr., which works out to an EPS of Rs.19 on its equity of Rs.5.76 cr. As per unconfirmed reports, it has some surplus property in Bangalore, which may fetch a handsome value to the company.