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!!! W E L C O M E !!!
In INDIA, people generally relate to stock market as “EASY MONEY” or “SATTA BAZAAR”. For them it’s purely a GAME or matter of sheer LUCK and nothing more than that. But seldom do they know, by following certain PRINCIPLES and taking INFORMED decision, this same platform has the power to take them from rags to riches. No doubt, it has a certain amount of RISK attached to it. But every business or investment has it. What more, the Finance Ministry has already made the long term capital gain as TAX FREE whereas the short term capital gain is taxed at merely 10%. On the economic front, India’s GDP is growing and is expected to grow at scorching pace of more than 8%. Unfortunately, even today our market is being ruled and dominated by FIRANGI’s money. But I can see, the day is not far when our general PUBLIC will change its perception and start putting MOST of their savings in equities as an ** Investment **.
Remember, "K N O W L E D G E" and "P A T I E N C E" are the key to success.
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SAARTHI

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Thursday, April 26, 2007

Kavveri Telecom - Rs.54.45

Established in 1991, Kavveri Telecom Products Ltd. (KTPL) is primarily engaged in the manufacture of Radio Frequency (RF) products and Antennas for telecom, defence and space applications in India and abroad. In fact, it is the largest domestic manufacturer with a capacity to make over 200,000 high quality Antennas and 10,000 RF products per month. Besides it provides total turnkey solutions for coverage and capacity enhancement requirements for GSM & CDMA carriers in India. It offers solutions like Site/RF Survey, RF planning, designing & implementation, repeater based GSM & CDMA indoor as well as outdoor coverage solution and Microcell based indoor coverage solutions. It also manufactures solar modules & solar systems for various applications. Its customers comprise leading wireless equipment manufacturers like BEL, ITI, Motorola, Alcatel, Ericsson, Nokia, Siemens, ZTE, Worldspace etc. and GSM & CDMA carriers like Reliance, Tate Teleservices, Airtel, Hutch, Idea, Spice, Aircel, MTNL, BSNL etc. It was also chosen as a sole supplier to BEL for its requirement of solar modules.

KTPL has three well-equipped production plants in Bangalore, which produces diverse range of products including antennas, RF components (filters, combiners, splitters, couplers etc), cables & connectors, repeaters, fixed cellular terminals and solar products. It has forged strategic alliances with various industry leaders across the globe including Dekolink Wireless (Israel), Coiler Corp (Taiwan), Tatung (Taiwan), King Signals Corp (China), HFR Inc (South Korea) etc. Importantly, all the products manufactured are designed and developed by its in-house R&D center. Presently, it has two wholly-owned subsidiaries namely Eaicom India Pvt. Ltd., Mumbai and Kavveri Technologies Inc., Canada. To strengthen its position in the lucrative North American market, it acquired the TIL-TEK Antenna Division of Wi-Lan Inc., Canada, which manufacture high-quality antenna products for base stations of wireless telecom companies for US $2.5 mn. A few days back, it also acquired another Canadian company called DCI Digital Communications, which specializes in Radio Frequency Interference (RFI) products. Meanwhile, it has bagged about Rs.40 cr. order from Hutchison Essar Ltd. for In-Building Solutions (IBS) and for supply of its products for Base Stations. It has also reportedly bagged a Rs.20 cr. order from Idea.

Although the company is a dominant player in the telecom space, it has increased its share from the defence and space business too. For defence, its R & D division has recently developed GPS antenna for airborne applications, cylindrical beam switching antenna for tactical operations, vehicle mounted VHF & UHF sleeve monopole antennas etc. Moreover, the company is working on innovative designs & development of channelisers, digital instantaneous frequency measurement receivers, specialised filters and radomes, wideband Antennas for early warning system, power amplifiers and LNAs. Importantly, the company has already designed and developed various RF products and antennas for Wi-max and 3G technology that has huge potential. For the March’07 quarter, it reported mind-blowing numbers and ended FY07 with sales of Rs.50 cr. against Rs.35 cr. last and with net profit of Rs.5.95 cr. compared to Rs.2.65 cr. last year.
This translates into standalone EPS of Rs.6 on its equity of Rs.9.80 cr. For FY08, it may clock a total revenue of Rs.100 cr. with profit of Rs.9.50 cr. i.e. EPS of Rs.10. Even though the promoter holding is only 15%, investors are strongly recommended to buy at current levels as the share price can double in 12 months.

Wednesday, April 25, 2007

STOCK WATCH

As forecast, Bilpower Ltd. (Code: 531590) (Rs.178.80) came out with a very encouraging set of numbers for the March’07 quarter. Its sales increased by 90% to Rs.78.50 cr. whereas PBT jumped up 130% to Rs.7.75 cr. For the full year FY07, sales almost doubled to Rs.245 cr. whereas net profit grew by 65% to Rs.18 cr. due to the higher tax provisioning of Rs.6 cr. This works out to an EPS of Rs.20 on its equity of Rs.9 cr. After taking over Tarapur Transformers, it is moving forward by merging SunTranstamp, a power ancillary equipment company with itself. To fund further acquisitions, it plans to raise around Rs.100 cr. through the FCCB/GDR route in future, which will lead to a re-rating of the company. For FY08, the company is estimated to clock a turnover of Rs.325 cr. and PAT of Rs.23 cr. i.e. EPS of Rs.26 on its current equity of Rs.9 cr. Hence at CMP, the company is discounted by 7 times only against its FY08 earnings and the scrip has the potential to cross Rs.300 in the medium-term.

Micro Technologies Ltd. (Code: 532494) (Rs.240.40) is currently one the most poorly discounted IT scrip on the bourses. In spite of being a niche player and having an unique product portfolio, its share is available at a P/E ratio of merely 6 times its estimated FY08 earning. For the March’07 quarter, it reported 55% rise in sales of Rs.30 cr. and net profit increased by 45% to Rs.9.50 cr., leading to a quarterly EPS of Rs.9. For the full year ending 31st March 2007, its sales as well as profit grew by 80% to Rs.106 cr. and Rs.32 cr. respectively. This translates into EPS of Rs.30 on its equity of Rs.10.50 cr. The management has very aggressive plans for the future and company is expected to grow at CAGR of more than 50% over the next few years. It may end FY08 with a topline of more than Rs.150 cr. with a bottomline of Rs.42 cr. i.e. EPS of Rs.40 on its current equity. With FIIs holding 13% stake and domestic mutual funds holding 6% stake, the scrip has the potential to double in a year’s time.
Jupiter Biosciences Ltd. (Code: 524826) (Rs.161.55) has surprised the market with substantial jump in sales for the March’07 quarter. It registered a record high sale of Rs.38 cr. up 65% compared to last year and net profit rose by 40% to Rs.8.70 cr. For FY07 its sales increased by 30% to Rs.104 cr. and the profit increased by 50% to Rs.25 cr. This leads to an EPS of Rs.26 on its diluted equity of Rs.9.86 cr. The promoters have already converted their 10 lakh warrants into equity shares in March 2007 whereas the balance Rs.17.50 lakh warrants have been converted at Rs.146 in April 2007. Hence, its equity stands at Rs.11.61 cr. The company is further raising Rs.100 cr. through QIP placement and has entered into strategic business alliance with Ranbaxy on peptide pharmaceuticals for the global market. As per the contract, Ranbaxy is taking 14.90% stake, which will further expand its equity. These all are very positive developments for the company and it is estimated to end FY08 with total revenue of Rs.180-200 cr. and profit of Rs.42-45 cr. Scrip is bound to hit a new high soon
After couple of not so encouraging quarters, Ador Fontech Ltd. (Code: 530431) (Rs.87.60) has declared satisfactory result for the March’07 quarter. Both sales and profit improved by 20% to Rs.27 cr. and Rs.2.50 cr. respectively Interestingly, it reported an OPM of 15% compared to 9% in the preceding quarter. However, for the full year sales and net profit increased by 15% to Rs.80 cr. and Rs.5 cr. respectively thereby registering an EPS of Rs.15 on its tiny equity of Rs.3.50 cr. The management has maintained the dividend payout ratio of more than 30% and declared a whopping Rs.5 as dividend for FY07. At CMP, the dividend yield itself works out to more than 6%. Although the merger with Ador Welding is not on the cards but the management may merge both the companies in future for operational synergies. This will trigger the share price of Ador Fontech
Recently, Uttam Galva (Code: 513216) (Rs.33.65) announced a good set of numbers for the March’07 quarter. It doubled its net sales to an all time high figure of Rs.840 cr. but net profit increased marginally by 10% due to lower operating margin and higher interest cost. However, it ended FY07 on a buoyant note with 45% rise in sales to Rs.2567 cr. and 35% gain in net profit to Rs.100 cr. As the company raised about Rs.85 cr. in March 2007 through its GDR issue at Rs.40 per share, its equity got diluted to Rs.105.30 cr. Hence its EPS works out Rs.9.50 for full year. Besides, the company had earlier raised around Rs.200 cr. through FCCB route, which is yet to be converted into equity shares. Although the conversion price is Rs.64.50, it is expected to get revised to around Rs.44-48. On the back of aggressive expansion, the company is estimated to clock turnover of Rs.3750 cr. and net profit of Rs.150 cr. for FY08. This means an EPS of Rs.10 on its estimated fully-diluted equity of Rs.150 cr. At CMP its a strong buy as the scrip can easily appreciate 50% in 12 months.

Friday, April 20, 2007

Shri Lakshmi Cotsyn - 110.00 Rs

Incorporated in 1988, Shri Lakshmi Cotsyn Ltd. (SLCL), erstwhile Shrivatsa International Ltd., is engaged in manufacturing blended suitings & shirtings, cotton fusible interlining, quilted/embroidered fabrics and specialized technical fabrics for defence/paramilitary forces. It also has a sophisticated processing & dyeing unit specializing in Vat & Disperse dyes apart from a coating plant to coat polyurethane on fabrics and make them waterproof or water repellant. The company also has in-house rotary printing machines for printing various types of fabrics. SLCL specializes in manufacturing bulletproof jackets with advanced technology using aramid fabric and UHMPE sheets to produce hard armour plate, which meets the requirement of NIJ threat level 3. Recently, the company has undergone a huge expansion of more than Rs.250 cr. to become a major textile player.

SLCL had a facility to manufacture 18 million (mn.) metres of suiting shirting, 10 mn. metres of cotton sheeting processing; 1.2 mn. metres of embroidered and quilted fabrics and 2.5 mn. metres of industrial fabrics for defense and others. Now it has set up a new plant spread over an area of 48 acres in Fatehpur, Uttar Pradesh, which has a capacity to produce 20 mn. metres of denim, 12 mn. metres of wide width sheeting, 6 mn. metres of cotton suiting (heavy weight bottom wear fabric) and 3000 tonnes of terry towels in a year. The commercial production has begun and it is expected to operate at optimum levels in FY08. Besides, it is also putting up a captive power plant and a captive yarn- dyeing unit with a peak capacity of 1500 MTPA. Notably as a step towards forward integration, SLCL is setting up the garment manufacturing unit at Rorkee in Uttaranchal with a capacity of 10,000 trousers, 5,000 shirts and 5,000 ladies wears per day. Lately, it has also decided to establish a nylon project with a capacity of 8.55 mn. metres p.a. at Fatehpur only for manufacturing nylon coated fabrics and furnishing fabric both woven as well as knitted. Few months back, SLCL entered into a joint venture with an UK based company to carry on the business of manufacturing armour plates, panels, helmets, ballistic body amours etc. and similar safety/security related equipments for the domestic as well as global markets. The manufacturing unit of this JV will be established at Fatehpur in U.P. In short, the company is on a strong trajectory of growth with the impact of expansion kicking in every quarter.

To fund its expansion plan, the company made a preferential allotment of 37 lakh shares and 11 lakh warrants at Rs.129 per share apart from debt. Couple of days earlier, it reported stunning numbers for the March 2007 quarter and reported 65% jump in sales of Rs.154 cr. whereas net profit almost tripled to Rs.12 cr. and registered 18% OPM against 8% in the last fiscal. It will be interesting to see if the company can maintain such a high profit margin in future also. On a conservative basis, for the year ending June 2007, it can clock a turnover of Rs.550 cr. and profit of Rs.35 cr. This translates into an EPS of Rs.24 on its diluted equity of Rs.14.80 cr. For FY08, however, inspite of high interest cost and depreciation it may report sales of Rs.725 cr. with net profit of Rs.45 cr. i.e. EPS of Rs.30. Interestingly, Reliance Capital is holds 9% stake through preferential allotment since the last one year. Investors are, therefore, recommended to buy this scrip on sharp declines with a price target of Rs.210 in 12 months.

Thursday, April 19, 2007

IMP Powers - Rs.104.00

Promoted by Shri Ramniwas Dhoot, IMP Powers Ltd. (IMP) was established in 1961 to make electrical instruments like Ammeters. Since then it has emerged as the leading manufacturer of the entire range of electrical and digital measuring instruments, testing equipments and test benches, distribution & power transformers etc. Today, almost 95% of its revenue comes from the transformer business and it enjoys 23% market share of transformers manufactured in the medium category. It enjoys a very strong reputation for auto HV & EHV Power, distribution, Special Purpose, Furnace, Thyristor duty Transformers & Reactors. Apart from being the first ISO-9001 certified transformer company in India, IMP is also a government recognized export house. Exports contribute nearly 30% of sales as it regularly exports transformers to countries across like Australia, Bangladesh, Dubai, Ghana, Jordan, Kenya, Malaysia, Nepal, New Zealand, Nigeria, Sri Lanka, UK etc.

IMP has two factories at Mumbai & Silvassa. Its 5 acre Silvassa facility has a total installed capacity of 3600 MVA and produces power & distribution transformers ranging from 10 KVA to 150 MVA in 230 KV class, which is a very wide range and meets all requirements of customers under one roof. Importantly, IMP is the only transformer company in India in the zero sales tax zone enjoying 15 years (till 2012) sales tax holiday for its Silvassa unit. On the other hand, its Mumbai (Kandivali) factory manufactures electrical instruments like ammeters, voltmeters etc. It also has in-house manufacturing facility for OLTC & RTCC, which are critical components, to enhance its operational synergy and reduce the cost of production. IMP has been supplying its transformers to various State Electricity Boards like MSEB, RRVPNL, APTRANSCO, GEB, MPEB etc. and to leading turnkey contractors like L&T, BHEL, Reliance, Crompton Greaves, Jyoti Structures, Siemens, ABB, Kalpataru, NTPC, KEC, Nagarjuna, Tata Power and many more. In short, it is among the few companies catering to all three sectors i.e. public, private & exports.

To increase its market share in the electrical instruments business, IMP has recently upgraded its Kandivali plant with state of art facilities to manufacture the complete range of electronic analog and digital meters including ammeter, voltmeter, frequency meter, dynamometer type watt meter, power factor meter, phase sequence indicator, KVA meter etc. in addition to high end meters like maximum demand indicator, trivector meter and KWH meters. To complement its transformer business, the company is also planning to launch new products like OLTC with both On Load and Off Load tap changers, disconnectors for substations, energy meters including prepayment meters etc. Massive fresh capacity addition in the power sector, rapid rural electrification and strong replacement demand ensures a bright future for IMP. It has current capacity of 3,600MVA and is currently operating 55% of its capacity. It plans to increase its capacity utilization up to 80% by FY08. The company had a total order book of Rs.110 cr. by end of December 2006 and majority of these orders are for transformers.

For the financial year ending 30 June 2007, it may report a net profit of Rs.8.25 cr. on net sales of more than Rs.100 cr. Considering its bulging order book position, it is estimated to clock turnover of Rs.150 cr. and net profit of Rs.14 cr. for FY08. This translates into an EPS of Rs.14 & Rs.21 for FY07 and FY08 respectively. Investors are strongly recommended to buy at current levels as its share price can double in a year’s time.

Wednesday, April 18, 2007

STOCK WATCH

Mobile Telecommunications Ltd. (Code: 532127) (Rs.16.91) manufactures box assemblies as well as PCB assemblies and caters to clients from IT, Auto, Power, Medical and the Telecommunications sector. But post acquisition of the BPO facility of M/s Quantum eServices, the company is now focusing on VOIP & IP telephony, BPO and manufacturing of WLL handsets. It has already acquired the licence for corDECT technology and is setting up a plant for the production of WLL handsets. It has also forayed into the energy-saving device business and has got into APFC (Automatic Power Factor Controller) panels under the joint venture with Herodex Power Systems. It has plans to launch the Automatic Meter reading system, which will collect the data automatically from meters and other devices via telecommunications at a remote central location of the client’s choice. It also intends to enter the rapidly growing market of Wireless Broadband Services. It is expected to report a topline of Rs.23 cr. with a bottomline of Rs.1.50 cr. for FY07, which means an EPS of Rs.1.20 on its equity of Rs.11.90 cr. For FY08, it has the potential to clock an EPS of more than Rs.2. Buy at sharp declines.

Alufluoride Ltd. (Code: 524634) (Rs.17.40) is a reputed manufacturer and exporter of aluminium fluoride, which is used as flux in reducing the melting point of Alumina in the production of aluminium. Of late, the company has succeeded in sourcing an alternate supplier for Hydrofluosilicic acid for conversion on ad-hoc basis and is now working at higher capacity utilization. For the March’07 quarter, its sales grew by 10% to Rs.5.40 cr. and the PBT was Rs.1.20 cr. against a loss of Rs.0.20 cr. last year. However, due to tax provision of a whopping Rs.1.60 cr. including Rs.1.20 cr. as deferred tax, it reported a net loss of Rs.0.40 cr. Importantly, it clocked a record high OPM of 27% for this quarter. For the full year FY07, its sales and net profit were Rs.21 cr. and Rs.2.05 cr. respectively i.e. an EPS of Rs.3 on its equity of Rs.7 cr. Considering the strong improvement in its profit margin, it is estimated to end FY08 with topline of Rs.25 cr. and bottomline of Rs.3.50 cr., which means an EPS of Rs.5. Scrip has the potential to touch Rs.30 in the medium-term.

Batliboi Ltd. (Code: 522004) (Rs.107.55) is engaged in the business of machine tools, textile engineering, air conditioning and refrigeration. Its machine tools division manufactures and sources leading brands from across the world to meet the domestic requirements. It is a well-known supplier of a wide range of world-class textile machinery for spinning, weaving, knitting, processing and garmenting. It also executes turnkey HVAC (humidity, ventilation and air conditioning) projects across the globe. Moreover, it is actively involved in the design, selection, engineering, fabrication, supply, installation and commissioning of air and water pollution control equipment and systems for a variety of industrial and municipal application. Under a joint venture Batliboi enXco, it provides operation, service and maintenance for all types of wind turbine generators. Recently, it acquired 100% stake in Quickmill Inc., a Canada based machine tools company, for a consideration of approximately Rs.22 cr. in an all cash deal. For FY07, it is expected to register a total revenue of around Rs.130-135 cr. with PAT of Rs.13 cr. i.e. an EPS of Rs.10 on its equity of Rs.13.50 cr. For FY08, it can report an EPS of Rs.13 on a standalone basis. A good bet for 50% gain in a year’s time

Gontermann Peiper (I) Ltd. (Code: 504701) (Rs.50.90), an Ispat Group company is one of the leading manufacturers of Cast rolls and Forged rolls which find application primarily in the steel industry. Not only in India, its products are widely appreciated in USA, Canada, China, South Africa, Taiwan, South Korea, Thailand, Indonesia and many other countries. With the domestic and global steel industry adding capacity at a fast pace, the company is implementing an expansion-cum-modernization plan of Rs.40 cr. to enhance its production capacity to 18,000 MT of finished roll from 12,000 MT. This project is likely to be completed by end of 2007. Considering the future trend of the business globally, the company has given thrust to new product development – enhanced carbide rolls in ICDP variety and High Speed Steel Rolls. It is also scouting for inorganic growth opportunities in Europe to capitalize on the current boom in the steel industry and cater to European and US markets. It may end FY07 with net sales of Rs.150 cr. with net profit of around Rs.12.50 cr., which means EPS of Rs.9 on its equity of Rs.13.90 cr. With 52-week high at Rs.72, it’s a good buy at current levels.