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!!! W E L C O M E !!!
In INDIA, people generally relate to stock market as “EASY MONEY” or “SATTA BAZAAR”. For them it’s purely a GAME or matter of sheer LUCK and nothing more than that. But seldom do they know, by following certain PRINCIPLES and taking INFORMED decision, this same platform has the power to take them from rags to riches. No doubt, it has a certain amount of RISK attached to it. But every business or investment has it. What more, the Finance Ministry has already made the long term capital gain as TAX FREE whereas the short term capital gain is taxed at merely 10%. On the economic front, India’s GDP is growing and is expected to grow at scorching pace of more than 8%. Unfortunately, even today our market is being ruled and dominated by FIRANGI’s money. But I can see, the day is not far when our general PUBLIC will change its perception and start putting MOST of their savings in equities as an ** Investment **.
Remember, "K N O W L E D G E" and "P A T I E N C E" are the key to success.
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SAARTHI

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Thursday, May 3, 2007

ICSA (India) Ltd - 1065.00 Rs

Incorporated in 1994, ICSA India Ltd. (ICSA), formerly known as Innareddy Computer Software Associates (India) Ltd. is a Hyderabad based company constructing power transmission lines and substations. It has also developed products suitable for power utilities in the field of energy management, energy audit, control applications and provides versatile data acquisition systems using communications media such as GSM, CDMA and RF. Presently, its business is in three segments namely embedded solutions, electrical construction services and software solutions. In the revenue mix, more than 55% comes from infrastructure projects and the balance 45% comes from embedded solutions & products.

In embedded technology solutions, it has successfully deployed products like substation controllers, distribution transformer controllers, theft detection devices, spot billing machines and Intelligent Automatic Meter Reading systems etc. Its Remote Monitoring applications, apart from the power sector, are utilized in a number of other sectors, which include oil, gas, mining, irrigation, transport and water utilities, etc. ICSA has also developed technology solutions to identify transmission and distribution (T&D) losses and monitor power consumption using GSM Network. The Remote Switching facility designed by the company fits well with the ongoing power sector reforms. Its remote sensing applications can transfer data from power points to the control room through telephone lines and wireless including GSM technology.

Secondly, ICSA is one of the leading Indian companies offering Total/Partial turnkey services for electrical infrastructure projects in power generation, transmission and distribution sectors. It is capable in design, supply, transport, erection, testing & commissioning of 400 KV, 220KV, 132 KV Transmission Lines & Sub Stations on EPC basis. It has already entered into HVDS distribution works, Rural Electrification works and Industrial Electrification works in most of the States in India thereby emerging as a truly national level power sector company. Besides, the company has forayed into foreign countries also and is also executing a big project in Sudan.

Thirdly, ICSA provides customized solutions like software application and customer specific solutions for metering, billing and collection on per customer payment basis or variations of the BOOT model. The company supplies its products to many State Electricity Boards (SEBs) and private companies such AP Transco, APEPDCL, APCPDCL, APSPDCL, CESCO, SOUTHCO, Elmarc Ltd, Reliance Energy, NEEL, UPRNNL, MSEDCL, etc. Notably, the company has entered into an agreement with OIL India Ltd. to provide products and services in monitoring oil and gas pipelines which will forecast and control the rate of corrosion apart from addressing issues such as pilferage and thefts along the pipeline.

ICSA’s goal is to bring down the cost per unit of power by optimizing critical production processes and minimize transmission, distribution and transaction losses while at the same time save valuable consumer resources by real time audit and meter reading, billing systems, accountability and transparency systems, shortages and disaster prediction applications, SCADA (Supervisory control and Data Acquisition) and management solutions using best practices. Since the last three fiscals, the company is growing at a scorching pace and has ended FY07 on a buoyant note. Both sales and profit have quadrupled to Rs.330 cr. and Rs.64 cr. respectively registering an EPS of Rs.93 on its tiny equity of Rs.6.82 cr. To fund its future growth plans, the company has recently raised approx Rs.200 cr. through FCCB route and has also issued 750,000 warrants at Rs.1135. However for FY08, it is estimated to report a topline of Rs.500 cr. with PAT of Rs.90 cr. This works out to an EPS of Rs.100 on its estimated diluted equity of Rs.9 cr. Investors are advised to accumulate this scrip at sharp declines as share price can easily appreciate 50% in 12-15 months.

Wednesday, May 2, 2007

STOCK WATCH

Most investors are under the impression that Gayatri Projects Ltd. (Code: 532767) (Rs.252) has reported very disappointing numbers for the March’07 quarter as its net profit is down by 50% to Rs.3.20 cr. compared to Rs.6.50 cr. last fiscal. But actually, the results are quite good as it has registered 40% rise in its topline at Rs.166 cr. With OPM of more than 14% for the quarter, its PBT increased by 25% to Rs.12.70 cr. However, as the company made major tax provisions of Rs.9.50 cr. in the last quarter only, it reported a lower net profit. For the entire FY07, both sales and net profit increased by 35% to Rs.502 cr. and Rs.23.50 cr. respectively leading to an EPS of Rs.23 on its equity of Rs.10 cr. Considering its huge order in hand position of Rs.2500 cr., the company is estimated to clock a turnover of Rs.750 cr. and profit of Rs.35 cr. for FY08. This translates into EPS of Rs.35 on its current equity. To fund its working capital requirement, the company has plans to raise US $30 mn. through the FCCB route in the near future. Although the promoters have a chequered history, the scrip is still a good bet at the current levels.
Prithvi Information Solutions Ltd. (Code: 532675) (Rs.276) is a mid sized technology solutions company with a strong domain knowledge of Technology outsourcing, process outsourcing and networking solutions serving clients in industry verticals like embedded technology, telecom, healthcare, retail, manufacturing, hi-technology, BFSI and e-governance. For the March’07 quarter, its topline increased substantially to Rs.259 cr. against Rs.137 cr. on YOY basis whereas its bottomline grew by 55% to Rs.26 cr. For FY07, it registered 70% rise in both sales and profit to Rs.768 cr. and Rs.90 cr. respectively i.e. an EPS of Rs.50 on an equity of Rs.18 cr. To increase its presence in offshore business, the company has plans to acquire 4-5 software boutiques overseas, with software facilities in India. For this, it has recently completed placement of FCCB of $50 mn., which was subscribed to by Lehman Brothers. It is also in the process of setting up its offshore development centre in Hyderabad at an investment of Rs.30 cr. On the back of its Rs.750 cr. order book position, it is estimated to register total revenue of Rs.925 cr. with PAT of Rs.110 cr. for FY08 on a stand-alone basis. A good medium to long-term bet in the IT sector.

Recently, Lloyd Electric and Engineering Ltd. (Code: 517518) (Rs.154) declared very encouraging result for the March’07 quarter. It recorded an all-time high sale of Rs.153 cr. compared to Rs.116 cr. last year whereas net profit increased by 55% to Rs.15 cr. For the full year FY07, sales were up 45% to Rs.496 cr. and net profit jumped 70% to Rs.47 cr. thereby registering an EPS of Rs.15 on its equity of Rs.31 cr. Recently, the company setup a new manufacturing unit in Dehradun (Uttaranchal) to manufacture room air-conditioners, components for air-conditioners and electronic goods. Besides, it is in contract with an Australian company for designing, manufacturing and supplying of AC package units to Metro Rail in India It has also tied up with a Korean company to manufacture roll bond and frost-free coils for refrigerators. Hence it may end FY08 with sales of Rs.625 cr. with profit of Rs.62 cr. i.e. EPS of Rs.20. At a reasonable discounting by 12 times, its share price has the potential to touch Rs.240 in a year’s time.

LT Overseas Ltd. (Code: 532783) (Rs.50) is the third largest player in the domestic basmati rice segment (after Satnam Overseas and KRBL) with ‘Daawat’ and ‘Heritage’ as its leading brands. With 40% revenue coming from exports, its products are being sold in more than 35 countries including the quality conscious markets of USA, Canada, UK and the European Union. It reported an excellent set of numbers for the March’07 quarter with sales at Rs.187 cr. and PAT of Rs.7.90 cr. i.e. EPS of Rs.3.50. However, due to one time extraordinary expense of Rs.1.32 cr. its net profit stood at Rs.6.60 cr. A few months back, the company had raised around Rs.40 cr. through an IPO at Rs.56 per share primarily for putting up a new parboiled rice processing and milling capacity of 6 TPH, a new milling line for producing value added rice with capacity of 5 TPH and to set up silos and flat storage facilities. It is also putting up a power plant of 2 MW for captive consumption. For FY08, it can clock a turnover of Rs.675 cr. with net profit of Rs.26 cr. i.e. EPS of Rs.12 on an equity of Rs.22.30 cr.

Friday, April 27, 2007

Pitti Lamination - Rs.68.70

Established in 1983 and promoted by Mr. Sharad Pitti, Pitti Laminations Ltd. (PLL) is primarily engaged in manufacture of electrical steel laminations and stampings which form a critical part in all types of motors, alternators, pump sets and DG sets. It also manufactures die cast rotors, tools, jigs, fixtures and moulds. It supplies not only laminations but also value added sub-assemblies using castings, aluminium, copper etc. On the domestic front, the company has been catering to some of the biggest and best names in the industry which include Siemens, Areva T&D, Toyo, Denki Power Systems (TDPS), Crompton Greaves, ABB, BHEL, Newage Electrical India, Bharat Bijlee, Kirloskars, Suzlon etc. On the other hand exports contribute more than 40% of its revenue with GE (USA) being one of its major customers.

PLL’s manufacturing facilities are located at Nandigaon village in Andhra Pradesh. Last year, the company completed its Phase II expansion cum modernization plan taking the total installed capacity to 25000 MTPA from 10000 MTPA earlier and started commercial operation in September 2006. For FY07 it is expected to record sales for 15000 MTPA whereas the full impact of expansion will be seen only in FY08. To leverage its considerable expertise and competitiveness and move up the value chain, the company is implementing certain forward integration measures and activities related to laminations. It is outsourcing the fabricated and casted stator bodies and also outsourcing the machining. But now under its Phase III expansion, it is putting up a project for fabrication of steel stator bodies, machining of stator bodies and dropping of assembled stator core into the stator body. These proposed activities are quite complex and demand a high degree of precision. But eventually, it will result in value addition and significant improvement in margins. These integrations will basically cater to GE (USA) and other big domestic customers. The total investment for this Phase III expansion is around Rs.40 cr. and is expected to commence operation by mid 2007 although it has already started the ‘core dropping’ operations. Interestingly, the company has obtained approval to diversify into power generation by way of wind energy, solar energy, thermal energy, hydro energy, bio energy or any other form or source of energy.
To fund the expansion, it has raised around Rs.14.40 cr. through a preferential allotment of around 12 lakh equity shares at Rs.120 per share. The balance is being met through debt and internal accruals. For FY07, it can report sales of Rs.145 cr. with net profit of Rs.10 cr., which may shoot up to Rs.200 cr. and Rs.13 cr. respectively in FY08 on a conservative basis. This translates into an EPS of Rs.11 and Rs.14 respectively. With a 52-week high/low as Rs.130/59, this scrip is available extremely cheap at the current market cap of Rs.65 cr. Investors are strongly recommended to buy with a price target of Rs.110 (60% return) in 12 months.

Thursday, April 26, 2007

Kavveri Telecom - Rs.54.45

Established in 1991, Kavveri Telecom Products Ltd. (KTPL) is primarily engaged in the manufacture of Radio Frequency (RF) products and Antennas for telecom, defence and space applications in India and abroad. In fact, it is the largest domestic manufacturer with a capacity to make over 200,000 high quality Antennas and 10,000 RF products per month. Besides it provides total turnkey solutions for coverage and capacity enhancement requirements for GSM & CDMA carriers in India. It offers solutions like Site/RF Survey, RF planning, designing & implementation, repeater based GSM & CDMA indoor as well as outdoor coverage solution and Microcell based indoor coverage solutions. It also manufactures solar modules & solar systems for various applications. Its customers comprise leading wireless equipment manufacturers like BEL, ITI, Motorola, Alcatel, Ericsson, Nokia, Siemens, ZTE, Worldspace etc. and GSM & CDMA carriers like Reliance, Tate Teleservices, Airtel, Hutch, Idea, Spice, Aircel, MTNL, BSNL etc. It was also chosen as a sole supplier to BEL for its requirement of solar modules.

KTPL has three well-equipped production plants in Bangalore, which produces diverse range of products including antennas, RF components (filters, combiners, splitters, couplers etc), cables & connectors, repeaters, fixed cellular terminals and solar products. It has forged strategic alliances with various industry leaders across the globe including Dekolink Wireless (Israel), Coiler Corp (Taiwan), Tatung (Taiwan), King Signals Corp (China), HFR Inc (South Korea) etc. Importantly, all the products manufactured are designed and developed by its in-house R&D center. Presently, it has two wholly-owned subsidiaries namely Eaicom India Pvt. Ltd., Mumbai and Kavveri Technologies Inc., Canada. To strengthen its position in the lucrative North American market, it acquired the TIL-TEK Antenna Division of Wi-Lan Inc., Canada, which manufacture high-quality antenna products for base stations of wireless telecom companies for US $2.5 mn. A few days back, it also acquired another Canadian company called DCI Digital Communications, which specializes in Radio Frequency Interference (RFI) products. Meanwhile, it has bagged about Rs.40 cr. order from Hutchison Essar Ltd. for In-Building Solutions (IBS) and for supply of its products for Base Stations. It has also reportedly bagged a Rs.20 cr. order from Idea.

Although the company is a dominant player in the telecom space, it has increased its share from the defence and space business too. For defence, its R & D division has recently developed GPS antenna for airborne applications, cylindrical beam switching antenna for tactical operations, vehicle mounted VHF & UHF sleeve monopole antennas etc. Moreover, the company is working on innovative designs & development of channelisers, digital instantaneous frequency measurement receivers, specialised filters and radomes, wideband Antennas for early warning system, power amplifiers and LNAs. Importantly, the company has already designed and developed various RF products and antennas for Wi-max and 3G technology that has huge potential. For the March’07 quarter, it reported mind-blowing numbers and ended FY07 with sales of Rs.50 cr. against Rs.35 cr. last and with net profit of Rs.5.95 cr. compared to Rs.2.65 cr. last year.
This translates into standalone EPS of Rs.6 on its equity of Rs.9.80 cr. For FY08, it may clock a total revenue of Rs.100 cr. with profit of Rs.9.50 cr. i.e. EPS of Rs.10. Even though the promoter holding is only 15%, investors are strongly recommended to buy at current levels as the share price can double in 12 months.

Wednesday, April 25, 2007

STOCK WATCH

As forecast, Bilpower Ltd. (Code: 531590) (Rs.178.80) came out with a very encouraging set of numbers for the March’07 quarter. Its sales increased by 90% to Rs.78.50 cr. whereas PBT jumped up 130% to Rs.7.75 cr. For the full year FY07, sales almost doubled to Rs.245 cr. whereas net profit grew by 65% to Rs.18 cr. due to the higher tax provisioning of Rs.6 cr. This works out to an EPS of Rs.20 on its equity of Rs.9 cr. After taking over Tarapur Transformers, it is moving forward by merging SunTranstamp, a power ancillary equipment company with itself. To fund further acquisitions, it plans to raise around Rs.100 cr. through the FCCB/GDR route in future, which will lead to a re-rating of the company. For FY08, the company is estimated to clock a turnover of Rs.325 cr. and PAT of Rs.23 cr. i.e. EPS of Rs.26 on its current equity of Rs.9 cr. Hence at CMP, the company is discounted by 7 times only against its FY08 earnings and the scrip has the potential to cross Rs.300 in the medium-term.

Micro Technologies Ltd. (Code: 532494) (Rs.240.40) is currently one the most poorly discounted IT scrip on the bourses. In spite of being a niche player and having an unique product portfolio, its share is available at a P/E ratio of merely 6 times its estimated FY08 earning. For the March’07 quarter, it reported 55% rise in sales of Rs.30 cr. and net profit increased by 45% to Rs.9.50 cr., leading to a quarterly EPS of Rs.9. For the full year ending 31st March 2007, its sales as well as profit grew by 80% to Rs.106 cr. and Rs.32 cr. respectively. This translates into EPS of Rs.30 on its equity of Rs.10.50 cr. The management has very aggressive plans for the future and company is expected to grow at CAGR of more than 50% over the next few years. It may end FY08 with a topline of more than Rs.150 cr. with a bottomline of Rs.42 cr. i.e. EPS of Rs.40 on its current equity. With FIIs holding 13% stake and domestic mutual funds holding 6% stake, the scrip has the potential to double in a year’s time.
Jupiter Biosciences Ltd. (Code: 524826) (Rs.161.55) has surprised the market with substantial jump in sales for the March’07 quarter. It registered a record high sale of Rs.38 cr. up 65% compared to last year and net profit rose by 40% to Rs.8.70 cr. For FY07 its sales increased by 30% to Rs.104 cr. and the profit increased by 50% to Rs.25 cr. This leads to an EPS of Rs.26 on its diluted equity of Rs.9.86 cr. The promoters have already converted their 10 lakh warrants into equity shares in March 2007 whereas the balance Rs.17.50 lakh warrants have been converted at Rs.146 in April 2007. Hence, its equity stands at Rs.11.61 cr. The company is further raising Rs.100 cr. through QIP placement and has entered into strategic business alliance with Ranbaxy on peptide pharmaceuticals for the global market. As per the contract, Ranbaxy is taking 14.90% stake, which will further expand its equity. These all are very positive developments for the company and it is estimated to end FY08 with total revenue of Rs.180-200 cr. and profit of Rs.42-45 cr. Scrip is bound to hit a new high soon
After couple of not so encouraging quarters, Ador Fontech Ltd. (Code: 530431) (Rs.87.60) has declared satisfactory result for the March’07 quarter. Both sales and profit improved by 20% to Rs.27 cr. and Rs.2.50 cr. respectively Interestingly, it reported an OPM of 15% compared to 9% in the preceding quarter. However, for the full year sales and net profit increased by 15% to Rs.80 cr. and Rs.5 cr. respectively thereby registering an EPS of Rs.15 on its tiny equity of Rs.3.50 cr. The management has maintained the dividend payout ratio of more than 30% and declared a whopping Rs.5 as dividend for FY07. At CMP, the dividend yield itself works out to more than 6%. Although the merger with Ador Welding is not on the cards but the management may merge both the companies in future for operational synergies. This will trigger the share price of Ador Fontech
Recently, Uttam Galva (Code: 513216) (Rs.33.65) announced a good set of numbers for the March’07 quarter. It doubled its net sales to an all time high figure of Rs.840 cr. but net profit increased marginally by 10% due to lower operating margin and higher interest cost. However, it ended FY07 on a buoyant note with 45% rise in sales to Rs.2567 cr. and 35% gain in net profit to Rs.100 cr. As the company raised about Rs.85 cr. in March 2007 through its GDR issue at Rs.40 per share, its equity got diluted to Rs.105.30 cr. Hence its EPS works out Rs.9.50 for full year. Besides, the company had earlier raised around Rs.200 cr. through FCCB route, which is yet to be converted into equity shares. Although the conversion price is Rs.64.50, it is expected to get revised to around Rs.44-48. On the back of aggressive expansion, the company is estimated to clock turnover of Rs.3750 cr. and net profit of Rs.150 cr. for FY08. This means an EPS of Rs.10 on its estimated fully-diluted equity of Rs.150 cr. At CMP its a strong buy as the scrip can easily appreciate 50% in 12 months.