STOCK WATCH

Real estate scrips are tipped to see a sharp rally on DLF listing. And Hazoor Multiproject (11.50) is one of the cheapest bet having a market cap of merely 25 cr. Recently, it announced another good set of nos for the third quarter ending May 2007. Total revenue grew by 25% to 6 cr whereas NP shot up 70% to 2.40 cr registering quarterly EPS of 1.15 Rs. Company is focusing mainly on real estate development which has now become the core activity. It has flagged off an 80 cr highly luxurious residential project at its own property in Lonavala near Amby Valley. Secondly it’s “HIGH LIFE” residential project at Pune under the joint venture with Bansal builders have been started in full swing and will start generating revenues in coming quarters. For FY07 ending August 2007, it may clock turnover of 25 cr and NP of 7.25 cr which works out to an EPS of more than 3 Rs on fully expanded equity of 8.60 cr having face value of 4/- Rs per share. FY09 will be the bumper year with sales more than 60 cr as its real estate division will contribute in a big way. A pure multibagger, if things pan out as planned.

Andhra Petrochemicals (21.00), the only producer of Oxo-Alcohols in India reported excellent nos for the March quarter. Sales increased by 45% to 82 cr and net profit stood at 16 cr against net loss of 0.85 cr last year. For the full year it recorded sales and NP of 266 cr and 36 cr respectively i.e. EPS of more than 4 Rs. On the back strong turn around and good cash earnings, it declared maiden dividend of 10%. Importantly due to robust demand and higher price realization, its OPM improved drastically to 26% for FY07 compare to 10% last fiscal. Sensing the bright future ahead, Andhra Sugars – the promoters are gradually increasing their stake thru creeping acquisition and has already bought more than 3% stake from open market in last fiscal. Accordingly for FY08, it can report sales of 300 cr and profit of 42 cr i.e. EPS of 5 Rs on equity of 85 cr. Although the dividend yield is quite good but being a commodity scrip investors are advised to remain bit cautious.

Shivalik Bimetals (14.00) specializes in the joining of materials through various methods such as diffusion bonding / cladding, electron beam welding, solder reflow and resistance welding. Its product range includes thermostatic bimetal, CRT components, shunts, snap action disc, precision stainless steel etc which have applications across industries including automotive, aviation, electronics, medical, domestic appliances etc. Financially, over the years company has been a consistent performer with a good dividend track record. For the March quarter its sales grew by 25% to 17.50 cr whereas NP zoomed up 50% to 2.20 cr due to lower tax provisioning. For the entire FY07, its topline remained flat at 62.50 cr but NP increased by 16% to 6.50 on the back of MAT credit This works out to an EPS of 3.40 Rs on small equity of 3.84 cr having face value of 2/- Rs per share. It gave 37.50 % i.e. 0.75 Rs as dividend which gives a yield of more than 5% at CMP of 14 Rs. Although no substantial growth is expected in FY08, still it’s a value buy at current market cap of less than 30 cr.

Indag Rubber (33.00) is one of the reputed players in tyre retreading business. It operates thru franchisee business by offering the technology, specialized equipment, retreading material, technical back up etc to the franchisee. It has a state of the art manufacturing unit to produce precured tread rubber along with allied items like cushion gum, repair gum, envelopes, other accessories and specialized equipment for retreading. Recently, it has set up a new plant in Himachal Pradesh which will give a fillip to its topline in coming quarters. Retreading is basically a process of bonding a new flap of pre-vulcanized rubber in place of the worn-out flap which increases the tyre life. Last year, the joint venture between Indian promoters-Khemka’s and foreign promoters-Bandag Inc, USA was mutually terminated and accordingly Khemka’s acquired the latter’s stake thereby taking their total holding to 81%. Financially, company has made a smart turnaround for FY07 with sales shooting up by 60% to 61 cr and registering a profit of 4.20 cr (incl. EO income) against net loss of 0.40 cr. However, for FY08 it is expected to clock a turnover of 70 cr and PAT of 3.50 cr i.e. EPS of 7 Rs on equity of 5.25 cr. Scrip has the potential to test 50 levels in 9~12 months.

Artson Engineering - 40.00

Established in 1978, Artson Engineering Ltd (AEL) is basically engaged in business of manufacturing tanks and terminals for refineries and petroleum companies. It is one of the foremost companies in the country, specializing in petroleum storage and handling systems. AEL has the capabilities in multi disciplinary construction for the hydrocarbon process industry and primarily caters to oil & gas, power & energy, food processing industry etc. Apart from taking EPC (engineering, procurement and construction) contracts, it also offers construction services in mechanical, civil, electrical and instrumentation field. AEL can boast of successfully commissioning hundreds of projects on the turnkey basis in India as well overseas. Few of AEL`s esteemed clients are IOC, HPCL, IPCL, GAIL, Lubrizol, L&T, Reliance Ind, Alfa Laval, BARC, Cadbury etc. It has also supplied equipments related to power projects to reputed clients like BHEL, NTPC, MSEB, Uri Civil, Enercon, Siemens, ABB, Alstom etc. Interestingly, company also has a manufacturing unit, located at Nasik, Maharashtra which has the capability to manufacture heat exchangers, finfan coolers, pressure vessels, LPG bottling plant equipments, bullets and other chemicals process equipments.

However, currently AEL is a BIFR company. Few years back due to failure of Essar Refinery-Jamnagar, company lost nearly 17 cr and was declared sick. Since then it is operating at reduced capacity due to non-availability of bank guarantees and other funding facilities. A number of tenders received by the company could not be taken advantage in view of financial constraints. The company, which use to execute more than 150 cr orders, reported only 14 cr revenue for FY06. But now its debt restructuring scheme has been approved by BIFR under which the 22 crore debt (out of 40 cr) has been waived off by the lenders. The remaining debt of Rs 18 crore has to be paid off in some 5 years without any interest on the same. More importantly, Tata Projects - a part of Tata group will soon be acquiring a controlling stake in the company by infusing fresh capital. Apart from having a healthy order book position or more than 40 cr, AEL along with Tata Project has bid for around 300 cr contract in India and UAE combined. To conclude, company is poised for a strong turnaround once Tata Project takes the command.

For the year ending Sept 2006, AEL reported total revenue of 14 cr and net loss of 1.40 cr. It made an operating loss to the tune of 1 cr. However for six months ending March 2007, it has already made a smart turnaround by reporting operating profit of 3.50 cr on total revenue of 18.40 cr. Hence it clocked a healthy OPM of 19%. As no interest is to be paid, its NP stood at 3.10 cr. Accordingly, it is expected to end FY07 (Sept ending) with a topline of 40 cr and profit of 5.50 cr i.e. EPS of 6 Rs on equity of 9.20 cr. Due With the brand advantage of Tata group, good funds flow and its own technological capability it can earn a profit of 11.50 cr on revenue of 75 cr which means EPS of 12 Rs for FY08. Long term investors are strongly recommended to buy at current levels as this scrip can double in a year’s time.

Mazda Ltd - 71.00

Established in 1977, Mazda Ltd (Mazda) erstwhile Mazda Controls Ltd was founded by Mr. Sorab R. Mody with a small unit to manufacture automated valve packages. Today, it’s among the few engineering companies in the world, manufacturing very specialized, high technology and critical equipments for various industries like power, refineries, fertilizers, chemicals, nuclear, sugar, paper, food, pharma etc. Broadly its product profile can be segmented into Vacuum system, Valve division, Air pollution control equipment, Crystallizers and Evaporators. Hence its product range includes various types of vacuum jet ejectors, turbine bypass valve, desuperheaters, condensers, pressure reducing stations, pneumatic actuators, steam jet thermo compressors, process control equipments, scrubbers etc. In India, its products are installed at plants of Reliance group, United Phosphorus, IOC, BHEL, Alstom, Cadila, Grasim, GSFC, HPCL, Siemens, Triveni Engineering, GHCL, NRC, L&T, Nuclear Power Corp etc. Besides engineering, it also has a Biotechnology division dealing in carbohydrates, rare sugars and miscellaneous bio-chemicals. Recently, company has diversified into business of manufacturing food and drink concentrates in a small scale.

Mazda has two manufacturing facilities located at Ahmedabad, Gujarat. For vacuum systems and air pollution control equipment, it has a technical collaboration with market leaders Croll-Reynolds Inc. USA, who also holds 12% stake in the company. Accordingly, the designing and engineering is done jointly by them, whereas manufacturing of equipment is done by Mazda and marketing is done by Croll across the globe. Mazda also has the collaboration with Germany-based Kauer Engineering for manufacturing various types of valve. Importantly, Mazda has the coveted ASME 'U' stamp accreditation certificate from the American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME) which very few Indian engineering companies can boast off. Hence, company can fabricate pressure vessels and heat exchangers confirming to ASME standards and are authorized to stamp them as 'coded Vessels'. In future company intends to increase its export substantially with having Siemens, Alfa Laval, APV Asia Pte, BASF, Petronnas, Bachtel, Colgate Palmolive, European Space Agency, IDE Technologies Ltd, Ministry of Oil & Gas Industry Turkmenistan etc as its international clients. It is also expecting some good order from German firm for supply of fabricated valves for gas pipeline in Europe.

Due to increased business and unavailability of space in its two existing units, Mazda is setting up third manufacturing unit with an investment of approximately 5 to 6 crores. It is well poised to harness the growth opportunities and is continuously upgrading its manufacturing facilities, technology, production processes and its marketing reach to maintain its growth in future. For FY07 it recorded 40% growth in sales as well as NP to 53 cr and 5 cr respectively. Hence, it reported an EPS of 12 Rs on small equity of 4.25 cr. Earlier company had split the face value to 2/- Rs per share but last year it again consolidated to 10/- Rs. For FY08 it is estimated to report sales of 65 cr and profit of 6.25 cr which means EPS of 15 Rs. Therefore the scrip is trading at a P/E ratio of less than 5x times which is extremely low considering its expertise and future prospect. Investors are strongly recommended to buy as scrip can touch 120 levels (70% returns) in 12 months or so.

STOCK WATCH

Inspite of strong March nos, share price of Uttam Galva (33.00) is lying low. It is the second largest manufacture of cold rolled and galvanized products like coils, plain sheets, corrugated sheets, CRCA and colour coated steel. It exports to 128 countries worldwide including developed nations such as USA, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, Germany etc to name a few. It is undergoing massive expansion estimated to complete by August this year which will take its cold rolling capacity to 10,00,000 MTPA and galvanizing to 7,00,000 MTPA. Couple of month back it raised 85 cr thru GDR @ 40 Rs per equity share. For FY07 it clocked a turnover of 2567 cr and PAT of 101 cr ie EPS of 10 Rs on equity of 105 cr. With steel prices remaining stable and expansion effect kicking in from August, it may end FY08 with total sales of 3500 cr and profit of 125 cr. Earlier company had raised approx 200 cr thru FCCB which is yet to be converted into equity shares. Although the conversion price is Rs 64.50 per share we assume it to be finally converted into 44/- Rs per share. Hence after conversion we estimate fully diluted to be nearly 150.00 cr. Accordingly FY08 EPS works out 8 Rs. Hence investors can buy with a price target of 48 Rs in 6~9 months.

Indo Asian Fusegears (135.00) is engaged in manufacturing of all types of LT switchgears, miniature circuit breakers, compact fluorescent lights and other allied electrical engineering goods. Apart from six manufacturing facility, it has recently put up three more units in tax free area of Haridwar- Uttaranchal, all of which have begun commercial production. Importantly company has entered into various foreign tie-ups for manufacturing as well as marketing state of the art modern style lighting equipments, fittings & accessories, home automation products, wiring accessories etc in India. It may report Sales and NP of 210 cr and 17 cr for FY07, which is expected to shoot up to 325 cr and 27 cr for FY08. This translates into EPS of 11 Rs and 18 Rs respectively on diluted equity of 15.05 cr. Hence at a reasonable discounting by 12x times scrip has the potential to touch 220/- Rs in medium term

Besides Indian hotel and EIH, Panoramic Universal (115.00) is the only company in India which owns and operates five hotels in USA and a small motel in New Zealand. Here in India, it has three hotels at Shirdi, Goa and Malvan each. Moreover it also owns “Pancard Club Hotel and Resort in Baner Hills along with ‘Area 51’, a large entertainment lounge in Pune. Company is now constructing two 3 star hotel cum club, one each at Thane and Durgapur. Further it intends to develop three 5 star hotels of 250-300 rooms each in Pune, Kerala and Goa. Above all it has very aggressive plans to grow inorganically. In near future, company may undergo some restructuring as management wants to consolidate its group companies into one. On a consolidated basis, for FY07 it has clocked a turnover of 132 cr and NP of 33 cr ie EPS of 26 Rs on small equity of 6.50 cr having 5/- Rs face value. Which means stock is trading at P/E ratio of less than 5x times. Considering the recent rupee appreciation, scrip has fallen sharply. For FY08 it can register 30 Rs EPS. However, high debt equity ratio with total debt of around 120 cr is cause of concern but at the same time promoter holding of 74% give some comfort level.

Couple of days back Kulkarni Power Tools (88.00) came out with decent set of nos for the March quarter. It recorded 25% growth for both sales as well as PBT to 12.50 cr and 1.20 cr respectively. However, due to higher tax and VRS provisioning its NP declined by 10% to 0.65 cr. But on a full year basis its sales improved by 15% to 44 cr and NP increased by 25% to 2.35 cr. This is inspite of higher deferred tax provisioning to the tune of 1.50 cr and VRS expense of 0.26 cr. Still it reported an EPS of 14 Rs on a tiny equity of 1.70 cr and declared 30% dividend for FY07. Company is a leader in the design, engineering, manufacturing and marketing of power tools like drills, grinder, hammers, cutters, polishers etc for construction and various other industrial activities. Notably, with its “POWERMASTER” brand, it has developed strong customer alliances with some of the largest retailers and most important brand names in the world. For FY08 it can register a topline of 50 cr and bottomline of 4 cr ie EPS of 24 Rs. Consdering the 52week H/L as 173/76 Rs it’s a good bet at CMP.

Hydro S &S Industries Ltd - 32.00 Rs

Established in 1987 and belonging WS Group - a well known industrial group in south India, Hydro S & S Industries Ltd (HSSIL) is a leading manufacturer and supplier of high quality reinforced polypropylene compounds, thermoplastic elastomers, pultruded profiles and fibre reinforced composites. It sells its product under the brand name HYFIL, HYPRENE, XTRUGLAS which are very well accepted in the market. Reinforced polypropylene which is nothing but modified polypropylene by the addition of reinforcements such as talc, chalk, mica and glass fibre has established itself as a metal substitute in engineering applications. The company’s products find application in varied industries like automotive, electrical, furniture and home appliances segments etc with automotive being the primary sector contributing 85% of total revenue. Automotive applications include Bumpers, Instrument panels, Pillars and Side Trims and other interior & exterior plastics. HSSIL has an enviable clientele including Tata Motors, Maruti Udyog, Hyundai Motors, General Motors, Nilkamal Plastics, Supreme Industries, Whirlpool of India, Amararaja Batteries, TAFE etc

HSSIL’s has two manufacturing facilities spread across Pudukottai (near Trichy) and Pondicherry with a combined processing capability of about 18000 MTPA. For manufacturing of thermoplastic elastomers, it has a technical alliance with a leading USA based company called Advanced Elastomers Systems. Moreover it is an authorized distributor in India for a whole range of masterbatches, produced by TOSAF, Israel, a global leader in the field of performance masterbatches. Earlier company was appointed by ExxonMobil Petroleum & Chemical, BVBA as an authorised distributor in India for their ‘Santoprene’ range of thermoplastic elastomers. The company also exports its products to Nigeria, Bangladesh etc. and is also planning to venture into Malaysia, Pakistan and Burma still keeping India as main focus area. Interestingly, to de-risk the wide fluctuation in raw material prices HSSIL has entered into tolling arrangement with certain customers where it procures raw material from the customers and supply them the finished product. It has also set up godown facility at Gurgaon and Pune to meet just-in-time requirement of its clients such as Tata Motors and Maruti.

With the expansion of GM, M&M, re-entry of FIAT and the new project of Volkswagen in the vicinity of Pune, HSSIL is creating a third facility in the Pune belt to handle the increasing requirements of these OEMs. This facility will initially have an annual capacity of 6000 MTs and is expected to commence operation by March 2008. In future company also intends to set up a plant at Uttranchal in order to cater the north Indian market and avail tax benefits. For FY07 it reported sales of 101 cr and NP of 2.80 cr thereby registering an EPS of more than 4 Rs. It is expected to declare 12% dividend giving a yield of around 4% at CMP. For FY08 it may clock a turnover of 115 cr and PAT of 3.75 cr ie EPS of 6 Rs on equity of 6.50 cr. At an enterprise value of 40 cr it’s a decent buy for long term as expansion effect will be visible only in FY09.