STOCK WATCH
Accurate Transformers (80.00) is engaged in manufacturing of power as well as distribution transformers ranging from 1 MVA to 40 MVA - in up to 220 KV class. It is looking to venture into manufacturing of higher capacity power Transformers of 160 MVA in near future. It has expertise to carry out rural electrification project which involves the complete setting up of electricity in remote areas including the laying of lines, poles and substations. As per management company is working at very low capacity utilization due to high working capital requirement and shortage of funds. On a gross block of Rs 11 cr company claims of having 5 manufacturing plants with an installed transformer production capacity of 8000 MVA, of which 3000 MVA in Dehradun and Haridwar are relatively new and enjoy income tax and excise exemptions. For FY09 its sales improved by 10% to Rs 195 cr whereas net profit remained flat at Rs 7 cr thus posting an EPS of Rs 24 on a very tiny equity of Rs 3 cr. For Q1FY10 also it posted 10% improvement in sales as well NP to Rs 27 cr and 1.10 cr respectively. Sarcastically, company seems to have borrowed the funds at high interest rate resulting into substantial interest cost which eats up more than 50% of operating profit. Accordingly it may clock a turnover of Rs 210 and NP of Rs 8.50 for FY10 i.e. EPs of Rs 29 on current equity. Buy for short term gains.
Continuously for the last three quarters, SEAMEC (180.00) has been reporting terrific performance. For Q2FY09 i.e. June’09 quarter its revenue shot up 65% to Rs 100 cr whereas net profit increased 8 fold to Rs 60 cr from Rs 7.50 cr in the corresponding period last year. For H1FY09 company has already clocked an EPS of Rs 36 till now. Despite such powerful performance, marketmen are skeptical of its future profit margin, as to at what rate company will hire out its vessels. But considering the current trend and improvement in demand for such vessels, it seems that company will be able to clock some long term deals at healthy charter rates. As of now, company’s all four vessels are deployed and none of its vessel is expected to go for dry dock in the current fiscal. Even for next fiscal, chances of dry dock of any vessel are quite negligible. Fundamentally, its not only a debt free MNC but also a cash rich company having potential to generate Rs 60 ~ 70 cr cash thru core business operation. Although H2FY09 may not be as good as H1FY09 still it may clock a turnover of Rs 350 cr and PAT of Rs 170 cr for FY09 ending Dec’09. This translates into EPS of Rs 50 on equity of Rs 33.90 cr. Investors can accumulate this scrip at sharp declines for a price target of Rs 280 within 15 months
Cosmo Films (100.00) is one of the dominant players in the Bi-axially Oriented Polypropylene Films (BOPP) market in India with a 23% market share and also one of the lowest cost producers of BOPP films in the world. It currently boast of having an installed capacity of 56000 MTPA of BOPP films, 21000 MTPA of thermal lamination films & 3000 MTPA of metallized films. Importantly, company is the only Indian player to manufacture thermal laminated films which is a high margin business. Despite demand supply mismatch, company is working at 100% capacity and is further expanding its BOPP capacity to 136000 MTPA & metalized films to 10500 in phases. It has even started a coating film with a capacity of 12000 MTPA last year. Recently company acquired GBC, a USA based company for Rs 80 cr. This company provides thermal lamination films and equipment in Europe, North America, Japan and the Pacific region and has sales of nearly Rs 500 cr. Post this acquisition, Cosmo Films has emerged as the global leader in thermal lamination segment. However considering its not so encouraging performance for Q1FY10 and fall in BOPP prices, it may end FY10 with sales of Rs 650 cr and profit of Rs 35 cr i.e. EPS of Rs 18 on current equity of Rs 19.40 cr. Meanwhile, the promoter group didn’t opt to convert the 31 lac convertible warrants which were allotted to them @ Rs 107 in Feb’08.