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!!! W E L C O M E !!!
In INDIA, people generally relate to stock market as “EASY MONEY” or “SATTA BAZAAR”. For them it’s purely a GAME or matter of sheer LUCK and nothing more than that. But seldom do they know, by following certain PRINCIPLES and taking INFORMED decision, this same platform has the power to take them from rags to riches. No doubt, it has a certain amount of RISK attached to it. But every business or investment has it. What more, the Finance Ministry has already made the long term capital gain as TAX FREE whereas the short term capital gain is taxed at merely 10%. On the economic front, India’s GDP is growing and is expected to grow at scorching pace of more than 8%. Unfortunately, even today our market is being ruled and dominated by FIRANGI’s money. But I can see, the day is not far when our general PUBLIC will change its perception and start putting MOST of their savings in equities as an ** Investment **.
Remember, "K N O W L E D G E" and "P A T I E N C E" are the key to success.
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Friday, April 20, 2007

Shri Lakshmi Cotsyn - 110.00 Rs

Incorporated in 1988, Shri Lakshmi Cotsyn Ltd. (SLCL), erstwhile Shrivatsa International Ltd., is engaged in manufacturing blended suitings & shirtings, cotton fusible interlining, quilted/embroidered fabrics and specialized technical fabrics for defence/paramilitary forces. It also has a sophisticated processing & dyeing unit specializing in Vat & Disperse dyes apart from a coating plant to coat polyurethane on fabrics and make them waterproof or water repellant. The company also has in-house rotary printing machines for printing various types of fabrics. SLCL specializes in manufacturing bulletproof jackets with advanced technology using aramid fabric and UHMPE sheets to produce hard armour plate, which meets the requirement of NIJ threat level 3. Recently, the company has undergone a huge expansion of more than Rs.250 cr. to become a major textile player.

SLCL had a facility to manufacture 18 million (mn.) metres of suiting shirting, 10 mn. metres of cotton sheeting processing; 1.2 mn. metres of embroidered and quilted fabrics and 2.5 mn. metres of industrial fabrics for defense and others. Now it has set up a new plant spread over an area of 48 acres in Fatehpur, Uttar Pradesh, which has a capacity to produce 20 mn. metres of denim, 12 mn. metres of wide width sheeting, 6 mn. metres of cotton suiting (heavy weight bottom wear fabric) and 3000 tonnes of terry towels in a year. The commercial production has begun and it is expected to operate at optimum levels in FY08. Besides, it is also putting up a captive power plant and a captive yarn- dyeing unit with a peak capacity of 1500 MTPA. Notably as a step towards forward integration, SLCL is setting up the garment manufacturing unit at Rorkee in Uttaranchal with a capacity of 10,000 trousers, 5,000 shirts and 5,000 ladies wears per day. Lately, it has also decided to establish a nylon project with a capacity of 8.55 mn. metres p.a. at Fatehpur only for manufacturing nylon coated fabrics and furnishing fabric both woven as well as knitted. Few months back, SLCL entered into a joint venture with an UK based company to carry on the business of manufacturing armour plates, panels, helmets, ballistic body amours etc. and similar safety/security related equipments for the domestic as well as global markets. The manufacturing unit of this JV will be established at Fatehpur in U.P. In short, the company is on a strong trajectory of growth with the impact of expansion kicking in every quarter.

To fund its expansion plan, the company made a preferential allotment of 37 lakh shares and 11 lakh warrants at Rs.129 per share apart from debt. Couple of days earlier, it reported stunning numbers for the March 2007 quarter and reported 65% jump in sales of Rs.154 cr. whereas net profit almost tripled to Rs.12 cr. and registered 18% OPM against 8% in the last fiscal. It will be interesting to see if the company can maintain such a high profit margin in future also. On a conservative basis, for the year ending June 2007, it can clock a turnover of Rs.550 cr. and profit of Rs.35 cr. This translates into an EPS of Rs.24 on its diluted equity of Rs.14.80 cr. For FY08, however, inspite of high interest cost and depreciation it may report sales of Rs.725 cr. with net profit of Rs.45 cr. i.e. EPS of Rs.30. Interestingly, Reliance Capital is holds 9% stake through preferential allotment since the last one year. Investors are, therefore, recommended to buy this scrip on sharp declines with a price target of Rs.210 in 12 months.

Thursday, April 19, 2007

IMP Powers - Rs.104.00

Promoted by Shri Ramniwas Dhoot, IMP Powers Ltd. (IMP) was established in 1961 to make electrical instruments like Ammeters. Since then it has emerged as the leading manufacturer of the entire range of electrical and digital measuring instruments, testing equipments and test benches, distribution & power transformers etc. Today, almost 95% of its revenue comes from the transformer business and it enjoys 23% market share of transformers manufactured in the medium category. It enjoys a very strong reputation for auto HV & EHV Power, distribution, Special Purpose, Furnace, Thyristor duty Transformers & Reactors. Apart from being the first ISO-9001 certified transformer company in India, IMP is also a government recognized export house. Exports contribute nearly 30% of sales as it regularly exports transformers to countries across like Australia, Bangladesh, Dubai, Ghana, Jordan, Kenya, Malaysia, Nepal, New Zealand, Nigeria, Sri Lanka, UK etc.

IMP has two factories at Mumbai & Silvassa. Its 5 acre Silvassa facility has a total installed capacity of 3600 MVA and produces power & distribution transformers ranging from 10 KVA to 150 MVA in 230 KV class, which is a very wide range and meets all requirements of customers under one roof. Importantly, IMP is the only transformer company in India in the zero sales tax zone enjoying 15 years (till 2012) sales tax holiday for its Silvassa unit. On the other hand, its Mumbai (Kandivali) factory manufactures electrical instruments like ammeters, voltmeters etc. It also has in-house manufacturing facility for OLTC & RTCC, which are critical components, to enhance its operational synergy and reduce the cost of production. IMP has been supplying its transformers to various State Electricity Boards like MSEB, RRVPNL, APTRANSCO, GEB, MPEB etc. and to leading turnkey contractors like L&T, BHEL, Reliance, Crompton Greaves, Jyoti Structures, Siemens, ABB, Kalpataru, NTPC, KEC, Nagarjuna, Tata Power and many more. In short, it is among the few companies catering to all three sectors i.e. public, private & exports.

To increase its market share in the electrical instruments business, IMP has recently upgraded its Kandivali plant with state of art facilities to manufacture the complete range of electronic analog and digital meters including ammeter, voltmeter, frequency meter, dynamometer type watt meter, power factor meter, phase sequence indicator, KVA meter etc. in addition to high end meters like maximum demand indicator, trivector meter and KWH meters. To complement its transformer business, the company is also planning to launch new products like OLTC with both On Load and Off Load tap changers, disconnectors for substations, energy meters including prepayment meters etc. Massive fresh capacity addition in the power sector, rapid rural electrification and strong replacement demand ensures a bright future for IMP. It has current capacity of 3,600MVA and is currently operating 55% of its capacity. It plans to increase its capacity utilization up to 80% by FY08. The company had a total order book of Rs.110 cr. by end of December 2006 and majority of these orders are for transformers.

For the financial year ending 30 June 2007, it may report a net profit of Rs.8.25 cr. on net sales of more than Rs.100 cr. Considering its bulging order book position, it is estimated to clock turnover of Rs.150 cr. and net profit of Rs.14 cr. for FY08. This translates into an EPS of Rs.14 & Rs.21 for FY07 and FY08 respectively. Investors are strongly recommended to buy at current levels as its share price can double in a year’s time.

Wednesday, April 18, 2007

STOCK WATCH

Mobile Telecommunications Ltd. (Code: 532127) (Rs.16.91) manufactures box assemblies as well as PCB assemblies and caters to clients from IT, Auto, Power, Medical and the Telecommunications sector. But post acquisition of the BPO facility of M/s Quantum eServices, the company is now focusing on VOIP & IP telephony, BPO and manufacturing of WLL handsets. It has already acquired the licence for corDECT technology and is setting up a plant for the production of WLL handsets. It has also forayed into the energy-saving device business and has got into APFC (Automatic Power Factor Controller) panels under the joint venture with Herodex Power Systems. It has plans to launch the Automatic Meter reading system, which will collect the data automatically from meters and other devices via telecommunications at a remote central location of the client’s choice. It also intends to enter the rapidly growing market of Wireless Broadband Services. It is expected to report a topline of Rs.23 cr. with a bottomline of Rs.1.50 cr. for FY07, which means an EPS of Rs.1.20 on its equity of Rs.11.90 cr. For FY08, it has the potential to clock an EPS of more than Rs.2. Buy at sharp declines.

Alufluoride Ltd. (Code: 524634) (Rs.17.40) is a reputed manufacturer and exporter of aluminium fluoride, which is used as flux in reducing the melting point of Alumina in the production of aluminium. Of late, the company has succeeded in sourcing an alternate supplier for Hydrofluosilicic acid for conversion on ad-hoc basis and is now working at higher capacity utilization. For the March’07 quarter, its sales grew by 10% to Rs.5.40 cr. and the PBT was Rs.1.20 cr. against a loss of Rs.0.20 cr. last year. However, due to tax provision of a whopping Rs.1.60 cr. including Rs.1.20 cr. as deferred tax, it reported a net loss of Rs.0.40 cr. Importantly, it clocked a record high OPM of 27% for this quarter. For the full year FY07, its sales and net profit were Rs.21 cr. and Rs.2.05 cr. respectively i.e. an EPS of Rs.3 on its equity of Rs.7 cr. Considering the strong improvement in its profit margin, it is estimated to end FY08 with topline of Rs.25 cr. and bottomline of Rs.3.50 cr., which means an EPS of Rs.5. Scrip has the potential to touch Rs.30 in the medium-term.

Batliboi Ltd. (Code: 522004) (Rs.107.55) is engaged in the business of machine tools, textile engineering, air conditioning and refrigeration. Its machine tools division manufactures and sources leading brands from across the world to meet the domestic requirements. It is a well-known supplier of a wide range of world-class textile machinery for spinning, weaving, knitting, processing and garmenting. It also executes turnkey HVAC (humidity, ventilation and air conditioning) projects across the globe. Moreover, it is actively involved in the design, selection, engineering, fabrication, supply, installation and commissioning of air and water pollution control equipment and systems for a variety of industrial and municipal application. Under a joint venture Batliboi enXco, it provides operation, service and maintenance for all types of wind turbine generators. Recently, it acquired 100% stake in Quickmill Inc., a Canada based machine tools company, for a consideration of approximately Rs.22 cr. in an all cash deal. For FY07, it is expected to register a total revenue of around Rs.130-135 cr. with PAT of Rs.13 cr. i.e. an EPS of Rs.10 on its equity of Rs.13.50 cr. For FY08, it can report an EPS of Rs.13 on a standalone basis. A good bet for 50% gain in a year’s time

Gontermann Peiper (I) Ltd. (Code: 504701) (Rs.50.90), an Ispat Group company is one of the leading manufacturers of Cast rolls and Forged rolls which find application primarily in the steel industry. Not only in India, its products are widely appreciated in USA, Canada, China, South Africa, Taiwan, South Korea, Thailand, Indonesia and many other countries. With the domestic and global steel industry adding capacity at a fast pace, the company is implementing an expansion-cum-modernization plan of Rs.40 cr. to enhance its production capacity to 18,000 MT of finished roll from 12,000 MT. This project is likely to be completed by end of 2007. Considering the future trend of the business globally, the company has given thrust to new product development – enhanced carbide rolls in ICDP variety and High Speed Steel Rolls. It is also scouting for inorganic growth opportunities in Europe to capitalize on the current boom in the steel industry and cater to European and US markets. It may end FY07 with net sales of Rs.150 cr. with net profit of around Rs.12.50 cr., which means EPS of Rs.9 on its equity of Rs.13.90 cr. With 52-week high at Rs.72, it’s a good buy at current levels.

Friday, April 13, 2007

Shree Hari Chemicals - Rs.29.50

Established in 1987, Shree Hari Chemicals Export Ltd. (SHCEL) is among the reputed manufacturers and exporters of a wide range of dyes & intermediates. Its Dyes division manufactures reactive dyes, acid dyes and direct dyes whereas under Intermediates it produces H-acid, Gamma Acid, Peri Acid, Toblas Acid, J.Acid, K.Acid etc. In addition to this, it also makes F.C.Acid, Vinyl Sulphone etc. with its updated technology and zero error in-process control system. The eventual product of the company is an intermediate for various types of dyestuffs. Interestingly 75% of India's total dyestuff production is intended for the textile industry and the balance 25% is used in leather, paper, food, soap/detergents and cosmetics etc. And with these sectors growing rapidly, the demand for the company’s products is bound to increase.

With an administrative office in Mumbai, SHCEL’s main manufacturing plant is situated on a 13,500 sq. mts. plot at the premier industrial estate in Mahad, about 175 km from Mumbai. It is in proximity to the main market of Mumbai, as well as to the ports of Mumbai & Nhava Sheva. The company also has production facilities with its associates in Gujarat. Nearly 40-50% of the production is exported to blue chip companies around the world. It has been awarded quality management system ISO 9001:2000 by SWISO, Switzerland. Last year, the company set-up a Solvent plant system, which is the latest technology available in the world, to increase the yield and improve quality. Besides, it has its own full-fledged Effluent Treatment Plant as per norms prescribed by the Maharashtra Pollution Control Board. It is also a member of Common Effluent Treatment Plant (CETP) managed by the Mahad Manufacturing Association and has contributed Rs.27.46 lakh to it. Importantly, earlier China was an exporter of dye & intermediates to India whereas recently it started importing some of these intermediates from India. Due to this, the company is witnessing a phenomenal increase in demand as well as better price for some of its products.
This is clearly visible in its December 2006 quarter numbers. Sales have more than doubled to Rs.20.52 cr. whereas its OPM shot up to 19% compared to 6% last year. Net profit stood at Rs.1.36 cr. against Rs.0.10 cr. in the last fiscal i.e. quarterly EPS of Rs.3. This means that the company has made a very smart turnaround from December’06 quarter. Whether it continues to report such performance is to be keenly watched. However, the annual per capita consumption of dyestuffs in our country stands at a merely 50 grams compared to the world average of over 200 grams. Hence there is a great potential growth of the dyestuffs demand in the domestic market. Also, India's share in the global dyestuff market is around 6.8% with an annual growth rate of around 20%. Assuming that the company repeats its December 2006 performance, it may end FY07 with net sales of Rs.70 cr. with net profit of around Rs.3.50 cr. This works out to an EPS of approx Rs.8 on its equity of Rs.4.50 cr. Eventhough the scrip is near its 52W high, it is trading at a P/E ratio of 3.5. And the company reports an OPM of more than 15% for the March 2007 quarter, the scrip can zoom up 50% in no time. Only speculative investors can take some exposure with the chance of getting handsome gains in short-term.

Thursday, April 12, 2007

Patels Airtemp - Rs.34.00

Incorporated in 1973, Patels Airtemp (India) Ltd (PAL) is one of the leading designers, manufacturers and suppliers of the complete range of heat exchangers such as shell & tube type, finned tube type and air cooled heat exchangers, pressure vessels, columns & air-conditioning and refrigeration equipments like coils, air handling units, fan coils, fans & blowers, condensers & chillers etc. All these industrial process plant equipments are supplied to leading industrial sectors like power projects, refineries, fertilizers, cements, petrochemicals, engineering, pharmaceuticals, textiles, chemical etc. Importantly, the company also undertakes turnkey projects in the highly specialized and related area of Humidification, Ventilation and Air-Conditioning i.e. HVAC. Its expertise in HVAC project includes industrial air conditioning, pharmaceutical plant air conditioning, textile humidification, pressurization and ventilation systems, evaporative cooling systems etc. Besides, it also undertakes project work for air-conditioning multiplexes, offices, educational institutions, halls, theaters, hospital etc.

PAL has two manufacturing units in Gujarat – one at Mehsana and another at Ahmedabad. It has technical collaboration with M/s. TEK FINS Inc., USA, for design and manufacture of air-cooled heat exchangers. To support its turnkey HVAC projects, the company has even backward integrated its facility to manufacture package air conditioners, ductable air-conditioners, split air-conditioners, window air-conditioners etc. to cater to the domestic industrial segments. Importantly, all the products that it manufactures in the plant are designed in-house using the most advanced software. The company is accredited by the American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME) and the National Board of Boilers & Pressure Vessels. It maintains quality standards to satisfy third party inspections from leading agencies such as Lloyds, EIL, BVIS, IBR, CCOE, PDIL, LINDE, H&G, Technimont ICB, UHDE, CHEMTAX, BAXCOUNSEL etc. For updating its heat transfer technology, it has also become member of HTRI (Heat Transfer Research Inc., USA). It caters to a very huge clientele including leading companies from across the industry and is an approved supplier for most of them. Although miniscule, it also exports equipments to Indonesia, Srilanka, UAE, Jordan UK, Ukraine etc.

Due to strong industrial growth and the fast growing economy, this engineering fabrication company is doing extremely well. For the first nine months ending 31st December 2006, its sales and net profit have increased by 50% and 60% respectively. It is expected to end FY07 with a topline of Rs.45 cr. with bottomline of around Rs.2.35 cr. This works out to an EPS of Rs.5 on its equity of Rs.5.07 cr. For FY08, it can easily register 20% growth which means an EPS of Rs.6. This fast growing engineering company is trading fairly cheap at a P/E multiple of less than 6 and is available at a market cap of merely Rs.17 cr. Investors are strongly recommended to buy this scrip at current levels with a price target of Rs.50 i.e. 50% appreciation in 9-12 months.