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!!! W E L C O M E !!!
In INDIA, people generally relate to stock market as “EASY MONEY” or “SATTA BAZAAR”. For them it’s purely a GAME or matter of sheer LUCK and nothing more than that. But seldom do they know, by following certain PRINCIPLES and taking INFORMED decision, this same platform has the power to take them from rags to riches. No doubt, it has a certain amount of RISK attached to it. But every business or investment has it. What more, the Finance Ministry has already made the long term capital gain as TAX FREE whereas the short term capital gain is taxed at merely 10%. On the economic front, India’s GDP is growing and is expected to grow at scorching pace of more than 8%. Unfortunately, even today our market is being ruled and dominated by FIRANGI’s money. But I can see, the day is not far when our general PUBLIC will change its perception and start putting MOST of their savings in equities as an ** Investment **.
Remember, "K N O W L E D G E" and "P A T I E N C E" are the key to success.
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SAARTHI

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Saturday, May 9, 2009

STOCK WATCH

For the March’09 quarter, Jupiter Bioscience (48.00) reported very flat nos as its sales as well as PAT grew marginally to Rs 47 cr & 10 cr respectively. Hence for the full year ending March 2009 it clocked 10% rise in sales to Rs 143 cr and 20% increase in profit to Rs 32 cr thereby posting an EPS of Rs 20 on equity of Rs 16 cr. Company is operating in a very niche segment and is among the few companies in the world to have competency in synthesis of peptides. The technology focus of the company has enabled it to develop more than 400 products in its catalogue and establish a leadership position in the peptide business internationally. It is poised to become a global peptide solutions group having a broad canvas of peptide chemistry products, peptide reagents, coupling reagents, protective agents and supplier of key ingredients used in peptide based pharmaceuticals. Despite having such strong credential, scrip is trading grossly cheap at P/E ratio of merely 2.5x times against its FY09 earnings. Company may declare 25% dividend which gives a yield of more than 5% at current levels. A risk free bet in a defensive sector.

Despite reporting sharp decline in net profit for the March’09, share price of C&C Construction (100.00) hasn’t fallen. It seems the scrip is held by stronger hands apart from 70% being held by the promoters themselves. For Q3FY09 ending March’09 its revenue jumped up 70% to Rs 283 cr but Net profit declined by 35% to Rs 8 cr due to substantial rise in interest cost. Thus for the first three quarters its sales has almost doubled to Rs 575 cr but PAT has declined by 15% to Rs 21.50 cr. Company is primarily engaged in construction of airfield pavements-rigid and flexible, state and national highways, city and rural roads, bridges and culverts and other infrastructure projects in India & Afghanistan. Importantly, company has a huge consolidated order book position to the tune of Rs 3000 cr. Out of this 55% is independent contracts and the balance 45% represents the share of contract under joint venture. Last year it bagged few important contracts which include Rs 300 cr BOT project to develop Inter State Bus Stop in Mohali, Rs 120 cr under ground Car parking projects, Rs 635 cr order to construct Afghanistan parliamentary bldg and a new Indian Chancery bldg in Kabul, Rs 780 cr orders from Railway for construction of dedicate freight corridor etc. Interestingly, company has entered into Bihar state in a big way and is implementing nearly Rs 1200 cr order in this single state. For FY09 ending June 2009, it may clock a turnover of Rs 875 cr and PAT of Rs 25~28 cr i.e. EPS of Rs 14~15 on current equity. Although it seems fully priced at current levels, long term investors can buy at sharp declines.

It seems perhaps for the first time Micro Tech (95.00) has recorded de-growth YOY basis. For last several quarters company was reporting impressive growth consistently. But for the latest March’09 it reported marginal 7% rise in topline to Rs 55 cr and nearly 20% decline in net profit to Rs 13 cr. But again this fall is wholly due to sharp rise in depreciation cost. Accordingly for the entire FY09 it reported 35% growth in revenue to Rs 230 cr and 20% increase in net profit to Rs 62.50 cr. This translates into an EPS of Rs 57 on equity of Rs 11 cr. On a consolidated basis it has fared even better with sales of Rs 290 cr and profit of Rs 70 cr. Notably, during the April’09 month, company signed 2 yearly contract– one with TWI International for nearly 30 cr and another with FN system Japan for approx Rs 25 cr. Moreover during the April month only company launched a new product Micro Power Sinewave Home UPS. Investors can buy at sharp declines. At the same time investors are cautioned, that few experts have apprehension about the actual working of company. Last week company also appointed new Company Secretary.

No wonder the share price of Indag Rubber (36.00) shot up 50% in a weeks time, as company has declared stunning performance for the March’09 quarter. Its sales improved by only 10% to Rs 19 cr but PBT more than doubled to Rs 3.20 cr. Due to lower tax provisioning, PAT further swelled by 150% to Rs 3.15 against 1.30 cr in the corresponding period last year. Notably, company registered an very healthy OPM of 19% due to low raw material cost. Despite such rocking performance, for the entire FY09 its sales marginally grew to Rs 76 cr but net profit declined by 10% to Rs 7.60 cr posting an EPS of Rs 15 on equity of Rs 5.25 cr. It declared 20% dividend for FY09 which leads to a dividend yield of more than 5% at CMP. Company is one of the reputed players in tyre retreading business and has been benefitted to the drastic fall in prices of raw material like poly butadiene rubber, natural rubber, carbon black and rubber chemicals. Due to high prices of tyres, retreading of tyres has become all the more necessary as tyres retreaded with quality material give about the same mileage as new tyres and that to at a much lower cost per mile. On the other hand the concept of retreading will grow being environmentally friendly. However the performance of the company will be vulnerable to commodity prices and hence scrip wont command very high premium. Being a good bet for dividend yield buy at sharp declines.

Tuesday, May 5, 2009

J Kumar Infraprojects Ltd - Rs 60.00


Established in 1980, J Kumar Infraprojects Ltd (JKIL) is a civil engineering and infrastructure development company whose primary focus is on development of roads, flyovers, bridges, railway over bridges, irrigation projects, commercial and residential buildings, railway buildings, sports complexes and airport contracts. For smooth functioning, it has broadly divided its project work into four segments namely transport engineering, civil construction, irrigation projects & pilling work. Among these segments JKIL has developed strong expertise in transport engineering space like undertaking design & construction of roads & flyovers on a turnkey basis, widening of highways etc. It is also among the few construction companies implementing innovative construction techniques such as RCC box jacking, volumetric & panelized construction, insulating concrete framework (ICF), flexible concrete pavement technology etc. However JKIL’s operations are largely confined in the state of Maharashtra and that too especially Mumbai. Notably, it is a class IA contractor with PWD, Government of Maharashtra and has been a preferred government contractor over the past years.

Over the years, the company has earned many accolades for timely & quality execution of its projects. Few of its well known projects include Konkan Bhavan Flyover at Navi Mumbai, Ghatkopar Cheddanagar flyover, Aurangabad flyover, Goregaon sports complex, Residential quarters of AAI staff, Bandra Terminus Bldg etc apart from various projects for road widening, irrigation and pilling. Interestingly, JKIL prefers to execute the whole project independently and also ensures to bag the contract directly from the govt agencies and developers. With substantial order coming from govt dept its main and renowned clientele includes MSRDC, MMRDA, PWD, MCGM, Mumbai Rail Vikas Corporation, Indiabulls Real Estate, SMC Infrastructures & Sarthak Developers. Nevertheless, JKIL has also formed strategic alliances with other private contractors like Era Construction, Indiabulls, Nagarjuna etc. with whom it has entered into project specific JVs & subcontracting relationships for specific purposes. Importantly, to complete the project effectively and on time, company owns a large fleet of modern construction equipments like hydraulic piling rigs, putmiester, mobile boom placer concrete pump and stationery concrete pumps, transit mixers, various capacity cranes, poclains, front end loaders, JCBs and tippers. It also has a ready mix concrete plant for captive use as well as to supply to third parties. Of late company has been putting more thrust to expand the lucrative business of pilling and RMC.

As of now, JKIL boasts of having a huge order in hand position of more than Rs 1200 cr to be executed in coming 24 months or so. This is 3x times its FY09 turnover, thereby ensuring strong revenue visibility for coming years. Last fiscal company bagged huge order from MMRDA & MSRDC to the tune of Rs 560 cr for construction of 16 skywalks in Mumbai. Recently, in last couple of months it won another Rs 130 cr order for construction of nallah & Railway Bridge(Jogeshwari) in Mumbai. Importantly, execution across multiple segments has not only enabled JKIL in de-risking its business model, but has also provided a platform to leverage on opportunities emerging from these segments. With massive investment expected to happen in infrastructure segment and govt making higher budgetary allocation, the future of JKIL looks quite promising.

Fundamentally, JKIL has grown at a scorching pace in the last few years. A company which barely did a business of Rs 5 cr in FY05 is today almost Rs 400 cr company. In the last three years it has recorded an impressive CAGR of 150% for sales and 250% for net profit. JKIL was fortunate enough to raise round about Rs 70 cr during Jan 2008 post which the stock market went for a tail spin. Led under the dynamic leadership of Mr Jagdish Kumar Gupta, JKIL has already become a leading infrastructure company of Mumbai and is now aiming for pan India presence. Meanwhile, last week company declared satisfactory result for the March quarter. Its revenue increased by 55% to Rs 148 cr but PAT grew by only 15% to Rs 12 cr due to fall in operating margin. Despite this, for the entire FY09 JKIL recorded 85% growth in topline to Rs 389 cr and 70% jump in bottomline to Rs 33 cr. This translates into EPS of Rs 16 on equity base of Rs 20.70 cr. In order to funds its working capital requirement, JKIL is contemplating to make preferential allotment of 40 lakh share warrants to promoters and other investors. To finalize this company is having a general meeting on 20th May 2009. Based on the current scenario, JKIL is expected to clock a turnover of Rs 525 cr and PAT of Rs 38~40 cr leading to an EPS of Rs 18 on current equity and EPS of Rs 15 on diluted equity of Rs 24.70 cr. Even at a fair discounting by 7x times against FY10E earnings scrip can easily shoot up to Rs 105~110 Rs within a year. Investors are advised to keep accumulating this scrip at sharp declines.


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J Kumar Infraprojects Ltd
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