STOCK WATCH

Although most of its peer groups posted losses, Simplex Casting (55.00) has once again reported decent performance for March’09 quarter. Not only it recorded 15% growth in sales to Rs 50 cr but also registered impressive 40% rise in bottomline to Rs 2.80 cr. Even for the entire FY09, sales have improved by 15% to Rs 173 cr and net profit have increased by 25% to Rs 9 cr. This leads to an EPS of Rs 15 on equity of Rs 6 cr. It may declare 15% dividend for FY09 as well. Company is one of the largest producers of Bogies (engines chasis) frame in India and supplying wide range of its products to Railways. It manufactures several product, some of which are zero leakage coke oven doors, coco bogies, casnub bogies, bogie frame, truck frame, slag pot, blast furnace, ingot moulds, pump casting, pump body, etc. It exports around 20% of its production to USA, Italy, France, Japan, Korea, Egypt, Spain etc. Infact company claimes to be one of the largest manufacturers of zero leakage coke oven doors in the whole world. Company has been gradually but constantly expanding and upgrading its manufacturing facility. For future it has plans to venture into project execution and turnkey business of steel plants and also intends to forward integrate into valve manufacturing business, which is a very high margin business. For FY10 it has the potential to clock a turnover of more than Rs 200 cr and PAT of Rs 11 cr which translates into EPS of Rs 18 on current equity. Worth accumulating for long term.

Voltamp Transformer (700.00) is a leading manufacturer of customized transformers for industrial, building and power applications. It has special expertise in production of dry type vacuum resin impregnated (upto 3 MVA/11 kV class) and cast resin transformers (upto 7.5 MVA/33 kV class) apart from manufacturing regular oil filled power & distribution transformers, induction furnace transformers & unitized substations. Infact, company is the market leader in dry type transformers with around 40% market share. Unlike other transformer makers, VTL's focus is on the non-SEB industrial and engineering segment, which has enabled the company to prese rve profitability on a consistent basis. Even for latest March’09 quarter, it clocked 15% growth in sales to Rs 186 cr whereas net profit shot up 40% to Rs 30 cr thereby posting an EPS of Rs 30 for the single quarter. On the full year basis, its sales was up 10% to Rs 737 cr and PAT increased by 45% to Rs 115 cr. This works out to an EPS of Rs 113 on current equity of Rs 10.12 cr. Notably its OPM stood at 23% against 21% last fiscal. Currently company is in the midst of putting up a Greenfield plan with an installed capacity of 4000 MVA thereby taking the total transformer manufacturing capacity to 13000 MVA. Although the margins may cool down in future, still this debt free company can be bought at sharp declines.

3i Infotech (70.00) is one of India’s leading IT companies and among the top 4 Indian software products companies. It provides software products and IT services (managed IT services, application software development & maintenance, payment services, business intelligence, document imaging & digitization, operations outsourcing (BPO) and IT consulting) for the Insurance, Banking, Capital Market, Mutual Funds, Wealth Management and Government verticals. It services customers in over 50 countries across 5 continents. Its quality certifications include SEI CMMI Level 5 for software business, ISO 9001:2000 for BPO, ISO/IEC 27001:2005 for data center operations and ISO/IEC 20000-1:2005 for data center management services. Recently, company has forayed into domestic media and broadcasting industry thereby offering services related to system integration. On the other hand, it has set up a 100% subsidiary for BPO business to consolidate all its BPO activities which is spread across 200 Indian cities and contributes nearly 35% of total revenue. At the same time company is acquiring J.P. Morgan Treasury Services’ national retail lockbox business (NRLB) which will enable it to process more than 700 million payments annually. Financially also company is doing well as it reported encouraging performance for the March’09 quarter. Effectively on a consolidated basis for FY09 its total revenues were up 90% to Rs 2305 cr and PAT shot up by 45% to Rs 282 cr leading to an EPS of Rs 21 on current equity of Rs 130.75 cr. It’s a professional well managed company and good growth potential. Investors can safely buy this scrip at current levels for 50~100% return in 12~15 months.

Vakrangee Software (60.00) is a leading provider of complete document and data management solutions encompassing large-scale data capturing & management, scanning, digitization and printing. To maintain its growth momentum, VSL is focusing more on private sector and is constantly adding large companies to its list from the banking and financial service, retail, power and telecom sector. It competently manages the printing of statements (monthly/quarterly/yearly), bills and mass communication collaterals of these private service providers. Its service matrix includes secured data hosting in the Data Centre, data composition/mining from the data dump like CRM data, transaction data, billing data, design of a one-to-one communication layout and superimposing the relevant text data of each customer of the client to make an effective and efficient personalized communication statement, followed by printing the data stream so prepared in a physical format or SMS/e-mail it to the end customer. At the same time it continues to execute the various e-governance project and has been recently approached by TCS for working as a build partner for Passport Seva Kendra (PSK) project at 6 sites. Since last three years, company’s topline and bottomline has been growing at an impressive CAGR of 90% and 160% respectively. Moreover, company has been consistently registering an OPM of more than 40% & NPM of 20%. It is yet to declare its March’09 quarter nos. Thus it has already clocked an EPS of Rs 16 for first 3 quarters and is expected to end FY09 with topline of Rs 290 cr and NP of Rs 42 for full year i.e. EPS of Rs 20 on current equity of Rs 21.40 cr. Scrip may shoot up post March’09 qtr nos.

Jupiter Bioscience Ltd - Rs 60.00

Established in 1985, Jupiter Bioscience Ltd (JBL) is a reputed pharmaceutical company specializing in niche areas of peptides, advanced organic chemistry, chiral chemistry, and biotechnology. Led by Mr. Venkat R Kalavakolanu, today JBL ranks among global top 10 players in the peptide chemistry and the only one in India with a distinction of integrated model of peptide pharmaceuticals. Along with its subsidiaries, company is an end to end peptide solution provider covering the entire spectrum from key peptide raw materials to finished formulation. It has strong expertise in the manufacturing 700 different varieties of amino acids and its derivatives which constitute the peptide building blocks. It produces Fmoc-, Boc-, Z-protected aminoacids at large scale. Apart from offering a wide range of coupling reagents used for the synthesis of peptides, JBL also provides Generic peptide API’s for the unregulated market. It has the cost advantage in the large scale manufacturing of generic peptide APIs, as the peptide building blocks are produced in-house. Notably, it has capabilities in both - solution and solid phase strategies for peptide synthesis. Synthesis of cyclic peptides of variable sizes is the specialty of the company which makes it different from other players in the peptide market. Secondly, it is also one of the few international players manufacturing unnatural amino acids.

Under the non peptide segment, it manufactures a several organic APIs covering a wide range of therapeutic segments including antihypertensives, antidepressants, antispasmodics, antiallergics and antiulcer drugs. It also produces dozens of drug intermediates & fine chemicals which are eventually supplied to reputed pharmaceutical company on regular basis. It even supplies two veterinary (animal) drugs in the antihelmintics segment. Besides, company is active in lucrative and rapidly growing CRAMS segment, as API manufacturing companies in the developed countries are looking for contract R&D and manufacturing partners to take the cost advantage. Moreover, JBL has the capabilities to undertake customized synthesis of amino acid derivatives, bulk peptides and new chemical entities for its clientele. Broadly, company has segmented its product profile in three groups namely ‘Peptides’, ‘Drug Intermediaries’ and ‘Special & fine chemicals’ with around 55% revenue coming from the first, 25% from second and the rest 20% comes from the third segment. In near future, JBL intends to take the peptide share to above 65% and then gradually to more than 80%. It aims to become a leading integrated global peptides company.

Presently JBL is having four domestic manufacturing facilities – one in Karnataka (Bidar) and three in Andhra Pradesh (Cheriyal, Medak & Cherlapally) with a combined installed capacity of 472 TPA as on March 2008. However the capacity utilization stands at nearly 50% which means it can easily double its topline without any capital expenditure. Apart from above, company has last year acquired a high end GMP approved manufacturing facility of Merck, located in Switzerland which has given it a competitive edge. Besides, JBL has set up another two wholly owned subsidiaries to cater the higher segment of peptide value chain. For specially catering to the regulated market like USA, Europe, Japan etc, its US subsidiary is in the process of implementing a cGMP manufacturing facility in Maryland, USA for the manufacture of custom and clinical peptides and peptide based generic active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs). The plant is expected to commence commercial operation shortly in the current fiscal. On the other hand its Indian subsidiary namely Sven Genetech is mainly into the business of development of process capabilities for several products that are pre-cursors to new generation drugs in the fields of AIDS treatment, Cardiology, Oncology, Immunology, Endocrinology, vaccines and others. In short it is enaged in R&D of peptide raw materials, peptide bulk actives and formulations, unnatural amino acids, custom peptide synthesis, nutraceuticals and enzymes. Importantly, till March’08 JBL has already invested whopping Rs 125 cr in these subsidiaries, which are expected to boost the topline as well as bottomline in future years. Infact, JBL has now started reaping the fruit of all the investments in R&D and global marketing made in the past. It is now being recognized in several parts of the world as the highly focused and competent player in the peptides arena.

Being a technology & R&D driven company, JBL has to regularly invest considerable amount in research and technology development. Roughly between 5~8% of sales are spent on R&D activities every year which are capitalized and generally written off in five years. In the last couple of years, JBL has made significant investments to upgrade and modernize the manufacturing facilities & quality assurance system to meet the expectations of international customers. The result of which is Gross block has almost doubled to Rs 260 cr by FY08. This was funded by raising Rs 100 cr thru QIB placement @ Rs 153 per share in 2007. Because of all these initiatives, last year company won a long term contract from Merck, Germany to supply peptide raw materials and intermediates. Besides, many leading pharmaceutical companies in Europe and USA became its regular clients in the last two years. Moreover, company had entered into a 10 year product purchase agreement with Ranbaxy to leverage the latter's vast global market reach and put its upcoming peptide products on a fast-track. Accordingly, Ranbaxy was supposed to take 15% stake @ Rs 147 per share and was already allotted the convertible warrants. But unfortunately, due to management change at Ranbaxy the deal didn’t take off. At the same time company issued 40 lakh warrants @ Rs 182 to few strategic investors which may lapse in July 2009. Importantly, JBL has been investing and creating facilities for its subsidiaries, although they have still not started to contribute significantly. So once the subsidiaries start working at optimum level, they will give a huge fillip to company’s financials.

Even on a standalone basis its fundamentals are quite strong with operating margin in the range of 45-50% and NPM of whopping 20~25%. For FY09 it recorded 10% growth in topline to Rs 143 cr but PAT was marginally up to Rs 32 due to 100% rise in interest cost. This works out to an EPS of Rs 20 on current equity of Rs 16.13 cr. Remarkably, company was able to improve its OPM by 200 basis points to 49% for FY09. Considering the company’s future plans and various initiatives it is expected to end FY10 with total revenue of Rs 175 cr and PAT of Rs 38 cr leading to an EPS of Rs 24 on current equity. Looking the current market sentiment, no equity dilution is expected in near future. Considering its R&D capabilities, company deserve much better discounting and hence investors are strongly advised to buy at current levels as scrip can very easily double to Rs 120 within a year. If we include subsidiaries valuation as well, then JBL is trading grossly cheap at current market cap of Rs 100 cr and can turn out to be multi bagger if held for 3~5 years.

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