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!!! W E L C O M E !!!
In INDIA, people generally relate to stock market as “EASY MONEY” or “SATTA BAZAAR”. For them it’s purely a GAME or matter of sheer LUCK and nothing more than that. But seldom do they know, by following certain PRINCIPLES and taking INFORMED decision, this same platform has the power to take them from rags to riches. No doubt, it has a certain amount of RISK attached to it. But every business or investment has it. What more, the Finance Ministry has already made the long term capital gain as TAX FREE whereas the short term capital gain is taxed at merely 10%. On the economic front, India’s GDP is growing and is expected to grow at scorching pace of more than 8%. Unfortunately, even today our market is being ruled and dominated by FIRANGI’s money. But I can see, the day is not far when our general PUBLIC will change its perception and start putting MOST of their savings in equities as an ** Investment **.
Remember, "K N O W L E D G E" and "P A T I E N C E" are the key to success.
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SAARTHI

Sensex (LIVE- Intraday)

Sensex (LIVE- Intraday)

Monday, November 22, 2004

STOCK WATCH

Videocon International (Code No.511389) (Rs.207.60) is discounted poorly by the market due to concerns about the promoters and their investor-unfriendly attitude. Inspite of being in a highly competitive market the company enjoys a dominant position and is expected to perform well due to the increasing rural demand for its products and thrust on exports. Its glass business is performing well and contributes nearly 50 per cent to its profit. For the full year ending 30th Sept 2004 its sales was up 11 per cent to Rs.3990 cr. and NP increased by 69 per cent to Rs.177.50 cr. registering an EPS of Rs.25. The company has massive reserves of Rs.1390 cr. on an equity of Rs.71.20 cr. Aggressive investors can buy for medium term with a target of Rs.90.

As expected Star Paper Mills (Code No.516022) (Rs.51.15) is getting re-rated sharp rally is likely in coming days even from the current level. For half year ending 30th Sept 2004 its NP jumped 71 per cent to Rs.10.30 cr. due to higher price realization and better efficiency. For the full year FY05 it could report an EPS of Rs.12. The scrip has the potential to hit Rs.75 in the next 6 months. Buy at dips

Sunflag Iron & Steel (Code No.500404) (Rs.13.64) is hitting a new high on the bourses. This integrated specialty steel producer from the SunFlag group is doing well due to current steel boom. For Sept 2004 quarter, its Net Sales grew 43 per cent to Rs.182 cr.and its NP stood at Rs.10 cr. against loss in last year. Its OPM improved by 500 basis points to above 13 per cent from 8.5 per cent last year due to higher price realisation. For the full year ending 31st March'05 it can report an EPS of Rs.2.5. The scrip is expected to cross 20 going forward. Buy only at dips and sharp correction.

One more sugar sector scrip has caught market attention and it is KCP Sugars (Rs.157.05). Being in the South, it has additional advantages like decent rainfall and absence of state advised price on sugar cane in AP etc. Secondly it has a huge carry forward stocks and enjoys a good market share in the eastern region too. For the first half its sales zoomed 84 per cent to Rs.134 cr. and it posted a NP of Rs.19.85 cr. against Rs.1.03 cr. last year. For FY05, it is expected to register an EPS of more than Rs.30 Investors can accumulate it for handsome gains with medium to long-term perspective.

If you believe in the telecom growth story, here is one good scrip which can appreciate handsomely going forward. Surana Telecom (Code No.517530) (Rs.63) has big plans for wireless telecom products and wants to create assembly line for CDMA terminals. Its also looking at the possibility of foraying into Internet Protocol TAX. For the first half it reported impressive result with Net Sales of Rs.70 cr. up 680 per cent and NP of Rs.5.30 cr. up 300 per cent. For the full year FY05, it may even report an EPS of Rs.12 and the scrip is expected to shoot up substantially if everything goes as per the plan. FIIs / Domestic funds are not active in this scrip as 71 per cent holding is with the promoters and 20 per cent with the public.

Purely on fundamentals VBC ferro Alloys (Code No.513005) (Rs.122) looks quite cheap and the share price may run up sharply in the current bull run. Promoter holding (36 per cent) and the management quality however, remains a concern. It declared excellent results for the Sept quarter as well. Now if we see for six months Sales grew by 26 per cent to Rsd72 cr. and NP increased 22 per cent to Rs.6.30 posting an EPS of Rs.16. Surprisingly, the company has very huge reserves of Rs.124 cr. on a very small equity of 4.05 cr. For full year, it should report an EPS of more than Rs.30 and the scrip has the potential to rise 25-30 per cent from hereon.

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