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!!! W E L C O M E !!!
In INDIA, people generally relate to stock market as “EASY MONEY” or “SATTA BAZAAR”. For them it’s purely a GAME or matter of sheer LUCK and nothing more than that. But seldom do they know, by following certain PRINCIPLES and taking INFORMED decision, this same platform has the power to take them from rags to riches. No doubt, it has a certain amount of RISK attached to it. But every business or investment has it. What more, the Finance Ministry has already made the long term capital gain as TAX FREE whereas the short term capital gain is taxed at merely 10%. On the economic front, India’s GDP is growing and is expected to grow at scorching pace of more than 8%. Unfortunately, even today our market is being ruled and dominated by FIRANGI’s money. But I can see, the day is not far when our general PUBLIC will change its perception and start putting MOST of their savings in equities as an ** Investment **.
Remember, "K N O W L E D G E" and "P A T I E N C E" are the key to success.
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Tuesday, December 7, 2004

Bihar Caustic - Rs.51.00

Bihar Caustic & Chemicals (BCCL), incorporated in 1976 is a Joint Venture between BSIDC(Bihar State Indl. Development Corp.) and Aditya Birla Group. It is one of the leading manufacturers of Caustic Soda in the eastern region. Its product portfolio consists of three products: Caustic Soda and the by-products of Caustic i.e. Liquid Chlorine and Hydrochloric Acid. Since the last few months, the chlor-alkali industry has been witnessing steady improvement in electrochemical unit (ECU) realizations and the trend is accelerating. Moreover, due to the current global upturn in the Aluminium, Iron and Steel and Paper industry, Caustic Soda prices have shot up more than 30 per cent in international market. And as far as BCCL is concerned, it is positioned very well in terms of capacity utilization with its parent company. Hindalco (along with INDAL) buying nearly 75 per cent of its total production of Caustic Soda whereas, the existing capacity for products like Chlorine and Hydrochloric Acid is well absorbed by the network of ancillaries already set up.
Its manufacturing plant at Ghanshyamkunj at Rehta in the state of Jharkhand has an installed capacity to produce 51048 TPA of Caustic Soda, 39600 TPA of Liquid Chlorine and 29040 TPA of Hydrochloric Acid. As caustic soda production is power intensive, the company has put up a 30 MW coal based captive Power Plant due to which company enjoys stable and economic power supply. Further, the company has installed sodium hypo chloride plant to utilize chlorine in its pursuit of value addition. It has also been successful in increasing caustic soda production by operating the plant at 225 KVA load. To encash the demand growth of its product in tandem with the significant growth in the principal user segments i.e. Aluminium and Steel industry, the company is in the process of finalizing the project for conversion of existing mercury technology to energy efficient and environment friendly membrane technology with simultaneous capacity expansion of caustic soda by 50 per cent i.e. increase in capacity from 150 TPD to 225 TPD at an estimated investment of Rs.112 cr. And to utilize the hydrogen as a value added product, the company is setting up a Hydrogen Bottling Plant at a total cost of Rs.2.80 cr. Recently, the company successfully restructured its long term debt from Financial Institutions by reducing the rate of interest. It has also returned to the dividend list after a gap of four years. Promoters hold 65 per cent stake and the rest is with the general public.
For the quarter ending 30th Sept 04, its net sales was up 8 per cent to Rs.26.30 cr. whereas NP jumped 150 per cent to Rs.7.10 cr. due to higher unit price realisation resulting in an EPS of Rs.3. Its OPM also improved 700 basis point to 49 per cent compare to 42 per cent last year. Considering the fact that the global prices of chlor-alkali products led by caustic soda are showing no signs of retreat, the company's profit margins are likely to improve in the second half of the current year and we expect it to clock a turnover of Rs.115 cr. and NP of Rs.26 cr. This works out to an EPS of Rs.11 on current equity of Rs.23.40 cr. Currently this scrip is trading at less than 4 PE, which is quite cheap compared to its peers. Investors should buy with a price target of Rs.80 i.e. 60 per cent appreciation in the coming 12 months.

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