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!!! W E L C O M E !!!
In INDIA, people generally relate to stock market as “EASY MONEY” or “SATTA BAZAAR”. For them it’s purely a GAME or matter of sheer LUCK and nothing more than that. But seldom do they know, by following certain PRINCIPLES and taking INFORMED decision, this same platform has the power to take them from rags to riches. No doubt, it has a certain amount of RISK attached to it. But every business or investment has it. What more, the Finance Ministry has already made the long term capital gain as TAX FREE whereas the short term capital gain is taxed at merely 10%. On the economic front, India’s GDP is growing and is expected to grow at scorching pace of more than 8%. Unfortunately, even today our market is being ruled and dominated by FIRANGI’s money. But I can see, the day is not far when our general PUBLIC will change its perception and start putting MOST of their savings in equities as an ** Investment **.
Remember, "K N O W L E D G E" and "P A T I E N C E" are the key to success.
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Friday, December 26, 2008

Vakrangee Software Ltd - Rs 32.00


Incorporated in 1990, Vakrangee Software Ltd (VSL) is a leading provider of complete document and data management solutions encompassing large-scale data capturing & management, scanning, digitization and printing. It has three business segments, viz - document management services, printing management services and IT enabled services. Over the years, VSL has emerged as the only provider of document management and printing management solutions in the organized sector. With more than 15 years of experience in servicing various government organizations, company forayed into the private sector for the first time during last year, which includes large companies from the banking and financial service, retail, power and telecom sector in both its document management and printing management vertical. Its IT enabled services comprise software development, system requirement study, tailored software development, system integration and election-related services. To meet the growing customers need in the printing management segment, VSL tied up with Eastman Kodak and has installed one large scale variable colour data printer which is the largest in Asia. Hence company boast of having the largest scanning and variable data printing capacity in India with 6 million pages per day. Presently, VSL derives 55% of total revenue from document management solutions and balance 45% from printing management solutions.

Till date, VSL has executed several prestigious projects including digitization of land records in Uttar Pradesh, managing electoral rolls for the Election Commission of India in Maharashtra, Gujarat, Rajasthan, MP and UP, delimitation exercise (redrawing boundaries of LokSabha and assembly constituencies) for Maharashtra state and handling documents in 22 offices of the Registrar of Company (RoCs) across different locations. It has also been associated with the Ministry of Corporate Affairs for the digitization of critical records under the MCA 21 project, the largest successful e-governance project in India so far. Company enjoys a pan-India footprint through 32 site offices. From 100% dependence on govt contracts, company has remarkably, within a year de-risked its business model with nearly 40% revenues now coming from private sector. It competently manages the printing of statements (monthly/quarterly/yearly), bills and mass communication collaterals of these private service providers. VSL’s service matrix includes secured data hosting in the Vakrangee Data Centre, data composition/mining from the data dump like CRM data, transaction data, billing data, design of a one-to-one communication layout and superimposing the relevant text data of each customer of the client to make an effective and efficient personalized communication statement, followed by printing the data stream so prepared in a physical format or SMS/e-mail it to the end customer.

To maintain its growth momentum, VSL is focusing more on private sector and is constantly adding new clients to its list. Accordingly, it has entered into a strategic alliance with Eastman Kodak to offer mass customization & personalization of customer communication practices in India and has been granted with the Kodak Gold Plus accreditation status. Besdies, it is setting up a new hub office at Gurgaon with another large scale variable colour data printer followed by 100 other small offices across the country. Further, it is contemplating to open a mega global client-servicing centre at Navi Mumbai, by the end of 2010-11. At the same time it will continue to execute government projects and is soon expected to manage all the inbound documents related to passport issue. In near futures it will be busy managing and printing new voting lists as well as voters' cards and slips with 2009 being s an election year. It will also benefit with various upcoming e-governance projects and increased budgetary allocation towards it.

Today, e-Governance is the fastest growing business opportunity as well as a major social responsibility initiative in India. It is further fuelled by the implementation of Right to Information Act (RTI) by govt of India, which makes it mandatory for all govt departments to have all the information in digital form. This includes not only conversion of historical data but also to keep present as well as future information in digital form. In view of the innumerable ministries, departments, offices at center and state level and other authorities, e-Governance has emerged as a huge opportunity for the IT industry in general and for the company in particular. On the other hand the BFSI and the telecom companies are also offering customized statements and other means of communications to retain its customers, opening up a sea of opportunity for VSL. Moreover the need for a paperless work environment across the globe enhances future prospect of the company.

Since last three years, VSL’s topline and bottomline has been growing at an impressive CAGR of 90% and 160% respectively. Moreover, company has been consistently registering an OPM of more than 40% & NPM of 20%. For FY08 its revenue jumped up 90% to Rs 224 cr whereas its PAT more than doubled to Rs 50 cr posting an EPS of Rs 23 on equity of Rs 21.40 cr. Incidentally, despite a substantial fall coupled with bearish sentiment in the stock market, warrant holders (including promoters) still exercised their option and got their 22.50 lakh warrants converted into shares @ Rs 241 per share in March 2008. For the latest Sept’08 quarter, VSL registered 60% and 50% growth in topline as well as bottomline respectively and has accordingly already posted an EPS of Rs 14 for H1FY09. For entire FY09 it is expected to clock total revenue of Rs 275 cr and net profit of Rs 50 cr i.e. EPS of Rs 23 on current equity of Rs 21.40 cr. Its EV/EBIDTA stands at merely 0.60x times. Unfortunately this debt free company which generated positive cash flow of Rs 150 cr thru operating activities is today available at a market cap of merely Rs 70 cr. Having a book value of Rs 127 cr, Cash EPS of more than Rs 50, dividend yield of 6%, VSL is available for a song at an EV of Rs 70 cr. Although, promoters hold only 19% and doesn’t enjoy that good reputation in the stock market still it’s a screaming buy at current levels. Sarcastically, scrip which hit a high of Rs 300 in May’08 is now trading at 10% valuation, maybe due to distress selling by some FII’s. Hence investors are strongly recommended to buy this multibagger as it can quadruple in 15~18 months.


2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Thanks for sharing.Interesting post.
regards
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